rain – Weather 360

Uncertainty Remains as Major Weekend Storm Nears

January 16, 2019Posted in Major Storm, Weather 360, WinterTagged Extreme Cold, Freezing Rain, GFS, High Winds, Ice, Mid Atlantic, NAM, New England, New York City, New York Metro Area, Power Outages, rain, Sleet, snow, Snow StormLeave a comment

Aside from several inches in November, it has been ten months since there has been significant snowfall seen in the New York City Metropolitan Area. This is now expected to change as soon as this weekend, as a significant winter weather event has begun to move east.

gfsfv3 1 16 19 102hr mslp — The evening run of the FV3 GFS computer model on January 16, 2019. Any slight shift to the east or south with this storm could mean extremely high snow totals closer to, or even south of, I-95. (Image courtesy tropicaltidbits.com)

Snow will quickly develop and intensify as it moves into the Tri-State Area late Saturday evening or early Sunday morning, bringing with it rapid accumulations on most surfaces. However, the position of the storm will dictate if and when many locations will see a changeover to sleet, ice, or rain.

At the moment, it appears that locations north of the city and I-95 will experience this transition as early as 9 am Sunday, allowing for potentially significant ice accretions on many surfaces by noon Sunday.

Whether or not the precipitation remains frozen or becomes rain during the day, snow and ice will redevelop by the afternoon as temperatures drop and winds increase Sunday night. It is also important to note that, regardless of the direct impacts of the storm, temperatures will fall to near below zero throughout the Mid Atlantic and New England by early Monday morning. This rapid refreezing could mean any liquid precipitation that falls may become ice on roads, trees, and power lines quickly after the storm exits the area.

nam12km 1 16 19 84hr — The evening run of the NAM 12km computer model on January 16, 2019. This particular run suggests a delayed transition from snow to ice or rain around NYC, meaning snow accumulations could run much higher than currently expected. (Image courtesy tropicaltidbits.com)

Due to the uncertain nature of the this storm, Weather 360 is currently forecasting anywhere between 4 and 12+ inches north of I-95, with anywhere between 3 and 8+ inches to its east and south. Forecasts will be refined in the coming days as the center of the storm develops, but for now, be prepared for a storm that could knock out power, make travel dangerous for an extended period of time, and dump a significant amount of snow, sleet, ice, and rain.

Potential for Severe Weather in NYC Today

July 7, 2016August 7, 2016Posted in Major Storm, severe weatherTagged 2016, Conducive for Severe Weather Development, Frequent Lightning, hail, heavy rain, High Winds, Hudson Valley, July, lightning, New York City Metro Area, NYC Weather, rain, severe storms, severe weather, Severe Weather Devlopment, Severe Weather in NYC, Severe Weather Threat, Thunderstorms, Weather360Leave a comment

Starting this afternoon, the potential for Severe Weather exists across the New York City Metropolitan Area. The first storms will begin to appear over the western portions of the Metro Area in the early afternoon, before becoming more numerous and greater in size by the early evening. At the moment, it is beginning to appear that there will be at least one line of storms that will form over The Hudson Valley around 3:00-5:00 PM EST.

It will be important to note that Weather360 is increasing the threat for Severe Weather today to 60% across the Metro Area, with the threat for isolated spin-ups and tornadoes at 22%. The primary threat today will be the threat for small hail, high winds, frequent lightning, and heavy rain. It is advisable to keep a weather radio nearby and to keep a lookout for storms in your area.

For more information, visit our YouTube Channel here, and in the event of an emergency, be sure to heed all advice distributed and issued by The National Weather Service.

NYC Weather: Snow in April?

April 3, 2016April 3, 2016Posted in Major Storm, spring, Weekly Forecast, WinterTagged forecasts, Low Pressure, low temperatures, New England, New York City Metro Area, Northeast, rain, Ski Resorts, snow, Snow Accumulations, Snow in April, spring, Weather, Wintry Mix, wintry weatherLeave a comment

This is the Third Edition of the NYC Area Week Outlook by Weather360

Monday: A wintry mix in the morning will transition to all rain by the afternoon. Total snow accumulations of up to a couple of inches are possible in some (mainly northern and eastern) portions of the area. Highs will hover around in the low to mid 40’s.

Tuesday: Highs dropping into the low to mid 30’s will be associated with clearing skies, making it seem much more like January than April.

Wednesday: High temperatures will peak in the mid 40’s as skies become increasingly cloudy, due to an incoming low pressure system.

Thursday: Rain associated with a low pressure system moving in from the west will bring in much more seasonable temperatures, with a high in the upper 50’s. This rain could spell the end to winter for many Ski Resorts throughout the Northeast.

Friday: Cooler temperatures along with clearing skies will make for a somewhat more seasonable day.

The Weekend: Highs in the 40’s along with mainly clear skies will make for a brisk, cool, early spring weekend.

In the event of an emergency weather situation, please consult the NWS at weather.gov and/or your local Emergency Management Office.

Storms Expected to Impact Upper Midwest

March 15, 2016Posted in severe weatherTagged Damaging Winds, hail, High Winds, Isolated Tornadoes, large hail, Midwest, rain, severe storms, severe weather, tornado, Weather, weather forecastLeave a comment

Over the next several hours, more lines of potentially severe thunderstorms are expected to line up across portions of the Upper Midwest, bringing hail, strong winds, and some isolated tornadoes. As of 2:30 CDT, lines of heavy rain and thunderstorms are developing over portions of Southern Iowa, and are expected to make their way east into Illinois, parts of Wisconsin, and parts of Minnesota. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC), has most of Western Illinois under an ‘enhanced risk’, meaning that the potential for multiple severe storms does exist, and that the threat of tornadoes is elevated as well.

More on this event on our Severe Weather Center page

NYC Weather: Rain, Milder Temperatures, and Snow This Week?

March 13, 2016March 14, 2016Posted in Weekly ForecastTagged current weather conditions, Milder Temperatures, New England, New York City Metro Area, New York City Weather Forecast, Nor'easter, Northeast, rain, snow, spring, Weather, Weather360, Week Forecast, Weekend Forecast, wintry weatherLeave a comment

This is the First Edition of the NYC Area Week Outlook by Weather360

Monday: Rain moving across the area will be accompanied by cooler temperatures hovering in and around the 40’s.

Tuesday: Rain will taper off towards the late morning leading to cloudy conditions with highs maybe reaching the 50’s.

Wednesday: Some showers with temperatures around the 60 degree mark will create a more spring-like feel again.

Thursday: Some light rain showers will bring slightly cooler temperatures in the mid 50’s.

Friday: Clear skies are expected along with temperatures still in the mid 50’s.

Weekend: Saturday will be much like Friday, but the potential for a significant Nor’easter exists starting Sunday, lasting into early next week. This year, Punxsutawney Phil may actually end up being wrong, as cooler temperatures may create some wintry precipitation across the area, but nothing is set in stone quite yet.

In the event of an emergency weather situation, please consult the NWS at weather.gov and/or your local Emergency Management Office.

Severe Thunderstorm Alert

February 24, 2016Posted in Major Storm, severe weather, WinterTagged 2/24/2016, Frequent Lightning, hail, Life-Threatening Situation, New England, Northeast, NYC Metro Area, rain, severe storms, Severe Thunderstorm Outbreak, Severe Thunderstorm Watch, severe weather, Severe Weather Outbreak, Tornado WatchLeave a comment

As of 2/24/2016 at 8:00 PM EST

ALERT: THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON, NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH EFFECTIVE UNTIL 2:00 AM EST THURSDAY FOR THE ENTIRE NYC METRO AREA. A TORNADO WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR LOCATIONS JUST TO THE WEST OF THE METRO AREA.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to impact the area later tonight. Moderate to heavy rain has already begun to fall across some portions of the area. By 11:45 PM tonight, a line of strong to severe thunderstorms is expected to envelop the area, potentially bringing hail, strong winds, lighting, flooding, and even some tornadoes along with it.

Look out for emergency weather warnings that the NWS may issue over the following several hours.

As Atlantic Hurricane Season Winds Down, Western Mexico Faces Major Hurricane Threat

October 22, 2015Posted in Major Storm, Tropical CyclonesTagged Category 4 Hurricane, computer models, Delaware, eastern pacific hurricane season, flooding, GFDL, Hurricane, Hurricane Patricia, hurricane season, Hurricane Season 2015, Hurricane Warnings, HWRF, Mexico, Mexico Hurricane Impact, nhc, Oklahoma, rain, Texas, Texas CoastlineLeave a comment

10/22/15 8:00 PM AST: Hurricane Patricia strengthens rapidly to a Category 4 hurricane, Hurricane Warnings in place.

Although the Atlantic Hurricane Season is winding down, a massive Category 4 Hurricane Patricia is quickly moving towards the Central Mexican Pacific coastline. This monster storm will also help bring massive amounts of rainfall to these areas along with parts of the Southern United States over the next several days.

The Forecast

At this time yesterday, Hurricane Patricia was only a Tropical Depression with sustained winds of only 35 MPH, and the forecast track was only suggesting the landfall at a maximum of a Category Two storm on the Mexican Coastline. So what happened?

Well, since yesterday at this time, the forecast models have shifted as to support massive quick development of the storm due to warm ocean waters, and minimal wind shear. Even though the official forecast track yesterday called for a moderate hurricane impact on the Mexican Coastline, some computer models such as the HWRF and the GFDL (Hurricane Computer Models) suggested that at least a potential Category Three storm impact was possible starting late on Tuesday. These same computer models have steadily suggested a more violent impact since then.

For anyone with interests across along the Central-Pacific Mexican Coastline, please continue to monitor the storm and visit the NHC’s website for more information.

Rain and thunder moving in over the weekend could pose a threat to millions

July 22, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged 3.A.S., high temperatures, Level III Alert, Mid Atlantic, New England, New York City Metro Area, Northeast, rain, rain showers, severe weather, thunderstorm, Weather, weather forecast, Weather NewsLeave a comment

A LEVEL III ALERT MESSAGE BY WEATHER 360 WILL BE RELEASED TOMORROW MORNING AS A PART OF OUR NEW 3.A.S. SYSTEM

The next few days across the Tri-State Area will be for the most part, calm. With temperatures in the mid to upper 80’s and little to no clouds in the sky, the next few days will feel like true Summer, unlike the temperatures from several days ago that made everyone feel like it was May again. Although temperatures will be roughly the same during the start of next week, the potential for rain and thunderstorms will start to appear starting around early or midday Sunday. Therefore, over the next 24 hours, Weather 360 will initiate its first issue of the 3.A.S. (3-Leveled Alert System.) In this case, an Increasing Level III Alert will be issued as of tomorrow morning. This means not only to be alert and aware that potentially threatening weather may move into our area over the next 36 hours or so, but also means that the threat level will likely increase to either Level II, or potentially a Level I, Most Urgent Alert. If this alert was only a normal Level III Alert, then the threat level would likely not increase and one would only have to remain aware of the incoming weather conditions.

Plans for the Fourth? You may have to adjust accordingly…

July 3, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged fireworks, july 4th, rain, rain showers, summer, weather forecastLeave a comment

The Fourth of July has been mainly fallen on a mostly dry and hot day over the past several years in New York, but this year this Independence Day has the chance to be soaked with rain.

Here’s the Weather 360 general forecast for locations in and around the city

July 4, 2015

Morning- Some showers will start to move in on and off with temperatures around the low 70’s.

Midday- More showers begin to move in, the rain becomes steadier around 1 or 2 in the afternoon, temperatures will move towards its peak around the mid to upper 70’s.

Night- Rain will start to move out of the area towards the later evening hours, leaving some showers, temperatures will hover and then drop from the 70’s to the mid to upper 60’s

So tomorrow doesn’t look great for launching fireworks, but depending on exact timing of showers some areas in and around New York may still be able to celebrate the United States’ 239th anniversary with fireworks.

Enjoy the holiday!

Severe Thunderstorms Possible Tomorrow!

June 22, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Northeast, nyc, rain, severe storms, severe weather, thunderstormLeave a comment

CAUTION: TOMORROW MORNING INTO EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS AND RAIN WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE NEW YORK CITY AREA.

Over the next day, rain coming from the Midwest will start to move to the east towards the Northeast. The rain event that will be moving into the Northeast will be accompanied by some severe thunderstorms that may bring some small hail, gusty winds, and heavy rains. Along with this, temperatures will cool slightly to a more comfortable temperature outdoors come the next few days as even more rain moves through later this week. Mainly tomorrow though Weather 360 advises keeping an eye to the sky and be aware of any severe thunderstorm alerts set out for your specific area by the NWS.