spring – Weather 360

2019 Hurricane Season Outlook

May 12, 2019May 12, 2019Posted in spring, summer, Tropical Cyclones, Weather 360Tagged 2019 Hurricane Season, atlantic, Atlantic Hurricane Season, Hurricane, Hurricane Preparedness, hurricane season, Tropical Cyclone, Tropical StormLeave a comment

Colorado State University has recently released its 2019 Hurricane Season Outlook and is calling for a slightly below average hurricane season. The Colorado State University outlook for the Atlantic Hurricane Season has long been one of the staples used in the long-term forecasting of how violent or active a particular hurricane season will be.

This year, the CSU forecast (as of April) is calling for an expected total of 13 named tropical cyclones (the average is 12), 5 hurricanes (the average is 6), and 2 major hurricanes (the average is 3). This forecast is based on various points of data, including recent measurements indicating that the Tropical Atlantic is slightly cooler than average for this time of year. Check out the full report here.

CANSIPS shear estimate 2 — Above are computer model forecasts, made available by TropicalTidbits.com, for this coming hurricane season. This particular model, the CanSIPS, is forecasting increased areas of wind shear (generally less favorable for hurricane development) across the lower Caribbean from August to November. This by does **not** rule out the presence or development of hurricanes or other cyclones in the Caribbean Sea.

The Atlantic Hurricane Season begins on June 1 and lasts until November 30, during which time, as with any year, there will most likely be several potentially life-threatening cyclones in the basin. Despite the slightly reduced risk for tropical cyclones, please remain vigilant throughout the late spring, summer, and fall for further developments.

If you live in an area prone to hurricanes or tropical storms, now is the best time to get prepared. Ensure you have a proper emergency supplies kit and other essentials by visiting https://www.ready.gov.

Stay safe!

Severe Thunderstorm Potential in NYC Today

June 11, 2016August 7, 2016Posted in severe weather, springTagged current weather conditions, forecasts, hail, High Winds, National Weather Service, New England, New York City Metro Area, Northeast, nyc, NYC Metro Area, severe storms, Severe Thunderstorm Outbreak, Severe Thunderstorm Warning, severe weatherLeave a comment

Following a round of moderate to heavy rain this morning in and around New York City is the potential for severe thunderstorms in the mid afternoon. With the next round of storms expected to impact the area comes the threat of hail, high winds, heavy rain, and lightning (not ruling out the potential for an isolated tornado or two). In order to stay safe, take appropriate action now if you live in the NYC Metro Area. Make sure that you have a flashlight, water, and a weather radio available in the event of an emergency.

An important factor in forecasting severe weather is the Convective Available Potential Energy or CAPE value. The CAPE is a measure related to the total energy available for convection and the maximum vertical updraft speed. It is important to note that the greater the CAPE, the more likely it is for severe thunderstorm development. It becomes much more common for severe thunderstorms to develop in and around the NYC area when the CAPE value is above 800, give or take a few, and as of now, the SREF ensemble computer models (run by the Storm Prediction Center)are suggesting a CAPE value of around 1,200. Along with this, more short range computer models such as the HRRR are suggesting a line of thunderstorms popping up around 4:00 PM EST today across the area. Remember to be on the look out for severe weather today and heed any and all advice distributed by the National Weather Service.

Severe Weather to Impact NYC

June 5, 2016June 5, 2016Posted in Major Storm, severe weather, springTagged current weather conditions, High Winds, New York City Metro Area, nyc, NYC Metro Area, Severe Thunderstorm Warning, severe weather, Severe Weather Outbreak, WeatherLeave a comment

The National Weather Service has issued multiple Severe Thunderstorm Warnings for the New York City Metro Area. This comes after a day of pouring rain that has saturated the ground. These storms will impact the area over the following several hours and may bring wind gusts of upwards of 60 mph along with lightning and some hail. Weather 360 advises to heed all warnings and to go inside if not already to avoid potential injury.

Welcome Back to the New Weather360

June 5, 2016June 5, 2016Posted in severe weather, spring, Weather 360Tagged forecasts, New England, New York City, New York City Metro Area, Northeast, severe weather, Severe Weather ForecastingLeave a comment

After a two month developing phase, Weather360 is back up and running even better than ever. Over the following weeks, a new Severe Weather Forecasting System will be implemented to give specialized information regarding the New York City Metro Area. Along with this, we plan to provide more insight into oncoming storm systems that may impact the Metro Area as well as large storm systems that may deliver severe outbreaks across the country.

NYC Weather: Snow in April?

April 3, 2016April 3, 2016Posted in Major Storm, spring, Weekly Forecast, WinterTagged forecasts, Low Pressure, low temperatures, New England, New York City Metro Area, Northeast, rain, Ski Resorts, snow, Snow Accumulations, Snow in April, spring, Weather, Wintry Mix, wintry weatherLeave a comment

This is the Third Edition of the NYC Area Week Outlook by Weather360

Monday: A wintry mix in the morning will transition to all rain by the afternoon. Total snow accumulations of up to a couple of inches are possible in some (mainly northern and eastern) portions of the area. Highs will hover around in the low to mid 40’s.

Tuesday: Highs dropping into the low to mid 30’s will be associated with clearing skies, making it seem much more like January than April.

Wednesday: High temperatures will peak in the mid 40’s as skies become increasingly cloudy, due to an incoming low pressure system.

Thursday: Rain associated with a low pressure system moving in from the west will bring in much more seasonable temperatures, with a high in the upper 50’s. This rain could spell the end to winter for many Ski Resorts throughout the Northeast.

Friday: Cooler temperatures along with clearing skies will make for a somewhat more seasonable day.

The Weekend: Highs in the 40’s along with mainly clear skies will make for a brisk, cool, early spring weekend.

In the event of an emergency weather situation, please consult the NWS at weather.gov and/or your local Emergency Management Office.

NYC Weather: Winter’s Last Gasp?

March 20, 2016March 20, 2016Posted in Major Storm, spring, Weekly Forecast, WinterTagged Late-Season Snow, New England, New York City Metro Area, Nor'easter, Northeast, snow, snow event, snow falling, Snow Storm, Snow Totals, Snow Update, spring, This Week's Weather, Warmer Temperatures, Weather Outlook, Winter 2015-2016, Winter's Last Gasp?Leave a comment

This is the Second Edition of the NYC Area Week Outlook by Weather360

Monday: Snow lingering in the morning will lead to sunnier and drier conditions in the afternoon with highs in the 40’s. Total snow accumulations of up to several inches are possible in some (mainly eastern) portions of the area.

Tuesday: Highs nearing 50 will be accompanied by much clearer conditions, making it seem much more like Late-March than Monday did.

Wednesday: Temperatures will finally break 60 degrees n most spots, so say ‘sayonara’ to any remaining snow mounds.

Thursday: Highs again in the 60’s will make it feel even more like spring, but the threat for showers does increase as the week progresses.

Friday: Highs again in the 60’s will also bring along some light to moderate rain showers. Only problem though is that its not April yet, so I guess these showers wont bring any May flowers…

The Weekend: Temperatures in the 50’s along with somewhat clear conditions are likely to remain the most significant weather factor over the weekend. Although, there is the potential for a Nor’easter to impact the area around Sunday, so it may not be to bad to have some rain gear nearby.

In the event of an emergency weather situation, please consult the NWS at weather.gov and/or your local Emergency Management Office.