This is the Second Edition of the NYC Area Week Outlook by Weather360
Monday: Snow lingering in the morning will lead to sunnier and drier conditions in the afternoon with highs in the 40’s. Total snow accumulations of up to several inches are possible in some (mainly eastern) portions of the area.
Tuesday: Highs nearing 50 will be accompanied by much clearer conditions, making it seem much more like Late-March than Monday did.
Wednesday: Temperatures will finally break 60 degrees n most spots, so say ‘sayonara’ to any remaining snow mounds.
Thursday: Highs again in the 60’s will make it feel even more like spring, but the threat for showers does increase as the week progresses.
Friday: Highs again in the 60’s will also bring along some light to moderate rain showers. Only problem though is that its not April yet, so I guess these showers wont bring any May flowers…
The Weekend: Temperatures in the 50’s along with somewhat clear conditions are likely to remain the most significant weather factor over the weekend. Although, there is the potential for a Nor’easter to impact the area around Sunday, so it may not be to bad to have some rain gear nearby.
In the event of an emergency weather situation, please consult the NWS at weather.gov and/or your local Emergency Management Office.
The National Weather Service has issued Winter Storm Watches for portions of Eastern New England. A potentially significant winter weather event is expected to impact the I-95 corridor from New Jersey to Maine starting at the end of the week. As this is a late-season (or early depending on how you look at it, early-season) snow event, it will likely bring a heavier, wetter snow along with some mixed precipitation.
Starting Sunday afternoon, snow will start accumulating mostly on uncovered dirt surfaces, before quickly moving onto grassy and paved surfaces as the ground cools overtime. Total accumulations will range from an inch or two, to nearly 10 inches in some spots, with more snow further to the east.
More on this event on our Winter Weather Center page
Using several different long range computer models, we have concluded that there will likely be a about a 1 degree increase from the average temperatures across the NYC Metro Area in January, along with a slight increase, of about half an inch, of precipitation.
What this means that there will likely be a slightly elevated amount of wintry precipitation across the area.
More information will be posted shortly.
The unofficial start winter was today across many locations north and west of NYC. Although no measurable snowfall was recorded, locations from in and around Poughkeepsie to as far south as Salem, Peekskill, and even some locations in western Connecticut, experienced flurries and light snow showers a good one to two months ahead of time.
Why the snow?
Although temperatures in and around the NYC Metro Area were generally higher than freezing at the time of the snow, the temperature in the atmosphere was a bit cooler than freezing, which allowed fast-falling snow to reach the ground before it melted in-air.
Due to the above freezing temperatures of the ground though, many of these snowflakes melted within 30 seconds of contact with the ground.
(The official start of Meteorological Winter is December 1st, and the start of the season Winter is generally considered December 21st.)
The following pertains to the New York City Metropolitan Area from Nov. 1 – April 1 2016
Winter 2015-2016 Snow Total Forecasts:
The following Weather360 forecast was made by a process in the making for nearly a year.
The New York City Metro Area is likely to receive about 20 more inches of snow than normal. This in part is due to the current El Nino bringing more precipitation to the area, along with current computer model trends that suggest average temperatures in this area will also likely be most prevalent. Other factors such as Global Emissions and average precipitation and temperature amounts have been taken into account.
For more specific locations expected snow total amounts, visit our Climate360 page.
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Come back soon for an update on the current storms in the Tropical Atlantic Basin.