Weather Bulletin – 10/3/2015 2 PM AST
The National Hurricane Center in Miami Florida has issued a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch for the Islands of Bermuda. The strong Category Four Hurricane Joaquin is now moving quickly to the northeast towards Bermuda. Joaquin’s center is expected to pass within 75 miles to the west of Bermuda in about two days, as a potentially high Category Two, or low-grade Category Three storm. Due to Joaquin’s potential proximity to the island nation, the NHC urges residents to take precautions immediately and to be prepared for the worst.
We’ll keep you posted – Weather 360
As of October 1 2015 12:00 PM Atlantic Standard Time (EDT)
Hurricane Hunter Aircraft flying at low altitudes has recovered wind speeds upwards of 115 Knots (About 130 MPH), and the storm now has a Mean Sea-level Pressure (MSLP) of 939 millibars. Joaquin is still moving southwest into The Bahamas, but is expected to reach the Jet Stream shortly and begin its turn to the north. At this moment, one on a satellite image may view this change in direction, as it has just begun. As this has just begun, the storm is still moving to the west, so the storm will likely stay on the slightly westward side of the current NHC Track Cone issued at the 11 AM 15 Advisory Update. At the moment many of the computer models seem to be incorrect in saying it would temporarily stall out in The Bahamas and sling-shotting to the northeast, for the storm has started to move slightly to the northwest.
Locations across the East Coast that need to be on alert are: North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Maine.
More updates soon here on Weather360.
For emergency information, consult the NHC at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
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Come back soon for an update on the current storms in the Tropical Atlantic Basin.
End of August Weather Overview: 2 PM EDT/AST, 8 AM HST August 30th 2015
Erika Redevelopment Recap
Over the past several days the weather world has been keeping a close eye on Erika, just about until yesterday, when it became a remnant low off the northern coast of Cuba. After that point at 9:30 yesterday, almost all hope was lost for the redevelopment of Erika, but according to some short range computer models, the remnants moving northward across Central Florida, may redevelop a center of circulation soon off the Southeastern Coast. So we’ll keep a close watch on this system over the upcoming several days.
Tropical Storm Fred Overview
Tropical Storm Fred formed yesterday off the coast of the Cape Verde Islands and is expected to become a hurricane while moving further northwest towards the central Atlantic. Fred will thereafter weaken to a Tropical Storm once more and move quite quickly through the central Atlantic, the eventual destination is still at this point unknown.
Hawaii Hurricane Threat
Hurricane Ignacio is now a Category Four storm with winds upwards of 140 MPH, this storm is barreling to the northwest and is expected to graze the northern sides of the islands of Maui and the Big Island. At the moment, Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for locations within The Big Island and all of Maui County. For those with interests in the islands potentially affected by the storm, please continue to monitor the progress of this storm over the upcoming few days.
Weather 360 will continue to keep you updated on all of these threats over the coming days.
As of 5:30 PM EDT/AST
With the newest NHC track and intensity update of Tropical Storm Erika rolling out, it is time to really stop and think, what is the single most important factor in Erika’s development, what is most crucial in the short term? The answer is for the most part clear, and cloudy, but it is Hispaniola at the moment…
Hispaniola and the Storm Shredder’s
Sounds like a band, right? Anyways, the mountains spread across central and southern portions of the two-nation island do inhibit development of tropical cyclones by ripping to shreds their center of circulation in the lower levels. The mountains of Hispaniola are anywhere between 6,000 and 10,000 feet, tall enough to disrupt the centers and other clouds at the lower levels. So really it all comes down to the mountains over the next 12 to 18 hours, and if Erika is strong enough to at the least reemerge after its encounter with the land masses.
Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for the entire length of the coasts of The Dominican Republic and Haiti, along with The Turks and Caicos along with most of The Bahamas.
Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for northeastern parts of Cuba and for locations in the northwestern portions of The Bahamas.
Weather 360 will continue to monitor the progress of Erika over the next several days.
At this time, a Level III Alert is in effect for our area. This means there is a possible potential threat soon for our area. This alert does have the potential to become a Level II Alert if conditions expected over the weekend continue to be expected, and if threatening conditions become imminent, there is the potential for a Level I, Most Urgent Emergency to replace the Level II Alert over the next 36 hours. It is advised that those who may be affected by the potential threat be alert and aware of upcoming forecasts and advise given by your local Emergency Management Office and your local Weather Service Office. According to the National Weather Service in New York, along with some computer generated models, there is the potential for thunderstorms to move into this area over the weekend. For more information, view the latest post here at weather360.net, or one of our latest Weather Broadcasts at our Weather 360 YouTube channel. For emergency information, visit weather.gov or your local NWS’s page for tips and forecasts.
A LEVEL III ALERT MESSAGE BY WEATHER 360 WILL BE RELEASED TOMORROW MORNING AS A PART OF OUR NEW 3.A.S. SYSTEM
The next few days across the Tri-State Area will be for the most part, calm. With temperatures in the mid to upper 80’s and little to no clouds in the sky, the next few days will feel like true Summer, unlike the temperatures from several days ago that made everyone feel like it was May again. Although temperatures will be roughly the same during the start of next week, the potential for rain and thunderstorms will start to appear starting around early or midday Sunday. Therefore, over the next 24 hours, Weather 360 will initiate its first issue of the 3.A.S. (3-Leveled Alert System.) In this case, an Increasing Level III Alert will be issued as of tomorrow morning. This means not only to be alert and aware that potentially threatening weather may move into our area over the next 36 hours or so, but also means that the threat level will likely increase to either Level II, or potentially a Level I, Most Urgent Alert. If this alert was only a normal Level III Alert, then the threat level would likely not increase and one would only have to remain aware of the incoming weather conditions.
Overnight, almost 450 miles beneath the Earth’s surface, and 8.5 magnitude earthquake occurred. Although this is one of the largest Earthquakes in the last couple of years, due to its extreme depth, no tsunami could have been triggered.
This morning, it seems as if there is not extensive damage and no fatalities have been reported.
What triggered the earthquake?
A bit over two weeks ago, a 6.8 magnitude earthquake also shook eastern portions of Japan, due to this earthquake’s depth, intense shaking was felt on land. Also, over the past few weeks, there has been some volcanic activity in and around Japan, possibly acting as a warning sign that a large earthquake could occur in the near future.
We’ll keep you posted on any more news from Japan over the coming days.
Officially at least, the 2015 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season has started, but, unless a major storm (or at least the first significant disturbance) develops, there is not much to talk about in terms of tropical cyclones. For the first time in a very long time, the Tropical Atlantic Basin has received its first tropical cyclone before the Eastern Pacific has.
Now for the update on the heat wave in New York City and the Tri-State Area…
With temperatures in the 80’s and humidity percentages close to 99%, the majority of those going outdoors will likely feel fairly hot and sweaty. The heat index in some areas (how hot it actually feels) is in the 90’s. For those who are sensitive to the extreme heat, please heed all advisories set out by the National Weather Service (NWS.)
Stay hydrated and be safe!
The 50 MPH Tropical Storm Ana has just made landfall in South/North Carolina, bringing with it, rain, thunderstorms, and some storm surge. Tropical Storm Ana is the first storm of the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and is also one of the earliest landfalls by a Tropical Cyclone on record. With Hurricane Season starting in over 20 days, some are now wondering how severe this upcoming season will be now… (this information can be found here at Weather 360.)
Where is Ana heading now?
(NHC prediction cone from earlier this morning.)
Where is Ana heading now? Well, according to this NHC prediction cone, Ana is making landfall right now in South/North Carolina, (the border of), and will soon lose its Tropical Storm characteristics, but will remain as a Tropical Depression (Ana) with winds of about 30 MPH up until impacting southern New England and Long Island with some waves and some wind (and some rain.)
Weather 360 will keep you posted, stay safe!