Tonight crucial in any future development of Tropical Storm Erika

As of 5:30 PM EDT/AST

With the newest NHC track and intensity update of Tropical Storm Erika rolling out, it is time to really stop and think, what is the single most important factor in Erika’s development, what is most crucial in the short term?  The answer is for the most part clear, and cloudy, but it is Hispaniola at the moment…

Hispaniola and the Storm Shredder’s

Sounds like a band, right?  Anyways, the mountains spread across central and southern portions of the two-nation island do inhibit development of tropical cyclones by ripping to shreds their center of circulation in the lower levels.  The mountains of Hispaniola are anywhere between 6,000 and 10,000 feet, tall enough to disrupt the centers and  other clouds at the lower levels.  So really it all comes down to the mountains over the next 12 to 18 hours, and if Erika is strong enough to at the least reemerge after its encounter with the land masses.

Official Alerts:

Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for the entire length of the coasts of The Dominican Republic and Haiti, along with The Turks and Caicos along with most of The Bahamas.

Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for northeastern parts of Cuba and for locations in the northwestern portions of The Bahamas.

Weather 360 will continue to monitor the progress of Erika over the next several days.

Tropical Depression Eight forms along with Invest 91-E in Eastern Pacific

As of 1:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time

Not only does Hawaii have to worry about a potential Tropical Depression (which now appears not to be very likely at the moment), they now have to pay attention to yet another potential storm heading for Hawaii, but this time, there’s more fuel.

So what’s happening with this new Tropical Depression?  Computer models can flip-flop positions rapidly, in turn, creating a broad area of obscurity behind all computer model generated forecasts, so what may have appeared to be a large potential storm yesterday, now appears to be a little storm that will clear the way for another potentially larger storm (currently named Invest 91-E).

Wait… what??!?!?!?!?!?!!?!??!?!!?

If you are currently thinking about the ‘potentially large storm to impact Hawaii’ we were talking about yesterday, you may be wondering if we had these two storms confused, and the truth is, not necessarily. Over the past few days we have had more and more indicators of two storms developing, but up until last night, the first storm was still expected by the majority of the computer models to be the stronger one.  Although this was only until last night, this is fairly common in the confusing and misleading world of computer models, where long range models tell half of the story, then discarding of the story once  the short range modes begin to pick it up, then right before a storm both of the types of computer models begin to suggest their original stories. (Sounds very similar to current popular YouTube theories on a game constantly pushing weather-related YouTube videos further and further down the most watched list…)

Okay, back to our main point…

How about this Invest-91 E thing, all I wanna know is if this storm’s gonna hit Hawaii.  I know, right?  Invest 91-E, Invest meaning the people at the NHC will start to pay more attention to this storm, is a rapidly developing cluster of thunderstorms in the south-central Eastern Pacific. A mouthful, we know…  Anyways, this disturbance is moving to the west-northwest at around 15 MPH, and will be situating itself over the warmer Pacific waters as it makes its way to the Hawaii area.

Currently, this storm does have the potential to impact Hawaii as some sort of tropical entity.  So for those with interests in the United States’ only state made up entirely of islands, stay tuned for more information, and on our Why Weather360 page, we will now clarify what exactly we cover in our forecast zone.

Feedback is always appreciated here at Weather 360!


BREAKING NEWS:  Multiple tornado warnings issued last night for places in Virginia, Maryland, Delaware,  Pennsylvania, and New Jersey

The remnants of Tropical Storm Bill, while moving over Virginia still Tropical Depression Bill, brought in several lines of extremely dangerous and severe thunderstorms accompanied with rotation sufficient enough to produce tornadoes.  These thunderstorms also dumped whatever was left of Bill’s moisture as well, in some places over 3 inches of rain fell in less than an hour.  There were many flash flood, river flood, and flood warnings issued for areas from the Midwest to New Jersey last night as well, causing the need for some high water rescues by local fire departments and others.  For anyone anywhere in the United States that may be impacted by a tornado (basically everywhere), remember that although it may be interesting to watch and videotape a tornado or any type of severe storm, whenever the warning goes out for you, take all precautions and heed every warning in order to stay safe.

Rain is moving into our area tonight

The remnants of Bill, still a Tropical Depression with winds of 20 MPH, is expected to move right over the New York Metro Area tonight and tomorrow, bringing with it heavy rains and some gusty winds.  The amounts of rain that will fall in and around the city will likely be no more than an inch or two, with the exception in some localized areas.  Mainly, this storm system will be a rain maker that will start out the week with soggy conditions, but let this not be any premonition for the rest of the week, for drier and higher   temperatures can be expected.  Tonight and tomorrow of you are heading outdoors or planning to head outdoors, we at Weather 360 do advise you keep an umbrella handy invade of a sudden downpour.

Tropical Depression Bill to impact the East Coast with rain, wind, and more rain

Although Tropical Depression Bill has only 20 mph winds and has already let go of all its moisture in Oklahoma, it is still expected to maintain a Tropical Depression status while moving over portions of the Mid Atlantic and New England.  For those wondering if New York will suffer from heavy rains from Bill, the truth is, yes, on Sunday, areas from Maryland to Connecticut will be the victims of high humidity, gusty winds, and heavy rains.  Even though the Northeast will be suffering from heavy rains on Sunday,  the total amount of rain will likely all be below 3 inches, which is less than half of what some areas in the Mid West have received over the past few days from Bill.

Overall, the Northeast, and the New York Metro Area will have to deal with a soggy Sunday this weekend.