NYC Weather: Winter’s Last Gasp?

This is the Second Edition of the NYC Area Week Outlook by Weather360

Monday:  Snow lingering in the morning will lead to sunnier and drier conditions in the afternoon with highs in the 40’s.  Total snow accumulations of up to several inches are possible in some (mainly eastern)  portions of the area.

Tuesday: Highs nearing 50 will be accompanied by much clearer conditions, making it seem much more like Late-March than Monday did.

Wednesday: Temperatures will finally break 60 degrees n most spots, so say ‘sayonara’ to any remaining snow mounds.

Thursday:  Highs again in the 60’s will make it feel even more like spring, but the threat for showers does increase as the week progresses.

Friday: Highs again in the 60’s will also bring along some light to moderate rain showers.  Only problem though is that its not April yet, so I guess these showers wont bring any May flowers…

The Weekend:  Temperatures in the 50’s along with somewhat clear conditions are likely to remain the most significant weather factor over the weekend.  Although, there is the potential for a Nor’easter to impact the area around Sunday, so it may not be to bad to have some rain gear nearby.

In the event of an emergency weather situation, please consult the NWS at weather.gov and/or your local Emergency Management Office.

Winter Storm May Bring Snow to The Northeast

The National Weather Service has issued Winter Storm Watches for portions of Eastern New England.  A potentially significant winter weather event is expected to impact the I-95 corridor from New Jersey to Maine starting at the end of the week.   As this is a late-season (or early depending on how you look at it, early-season) snow event, it will likely bring a heavier, wetter snow along with some mixed precipitation.

Starting Sunday afternoon, snow will start accumulating mostly on uncovered dirt surfaces, before quickly moving onto grassy and paved surfaces as the ground cools overtime.   Total accumulations will range from an inch or two, to nearly 10 inches in some spots, with more snow further to the east.

More on this event on our Winter Weather Center page

Severe Storms to Grip Southern Plains

Starting tonight, strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to bring heavy rains, high winds,  hail, and potentially some tornadoes from Eastern Oklahoma to Alabama. This same storm system is expected to move across the country and will eventually bring some rain to the East Coast as well.

More on this outbreak on our Severe Weather Center page.

Severe Thunderstorm Alert

As of 2/24/2016 at 8:00 PM EST

ALERT: THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON, NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH EFFECTIVE UNTIL 2:00 AM EST THURSDAY FOR THE ENTIRE NYC METRO AREA.  A TORNADO WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR LOCATIONS JUST TO THE WEST OF THE METRO AREA.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to impact the area later tonight.  Moderate to heavy rain has already begun to fall across some portions of the area.  By 11:45 PM tonight, a line of strong to severe thunderstorms is expected to envelop the area, potentially bringing hail, strong winds, lighting, flooding, and even some tornadoes along with it.

Look out for emergency weather warnings that the NWS may issue over the following several hours.

BLIZZARD SHIFTS NORTH

January 23, 2016 Update:

THE TRACK FOR THIS BLIZZARD HAS SHIFTED NORTH.  LOCATIONS IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT ARE NOW UNDER BLIZZARD AND WINTER STORM WARNINGS.

In locations across the New York City Metro Area, the snow has already started to accumulate.  The National Weather Service is now calling for a foot or more in most of the Metro Area.  Expect an additional foot or more of snow with some brief bursts of thunder snow throughout the day starting at 7 am.

The storm has the potential to create extremely dangerous road conditions at times today even in areas not specified under Blizzard Warnings.

There is the potential for widespread power outages across the Tri-State area.

Before making any decisions regarding the weather.  Visit weather.gov.

“Snowmageddon v.2” Update

*UPDATE – 6:00 PM EST 1/21/2016*

The first major winter storm for millions across the Northeast is on its way.  This storm is expected to create blizzard conditions from Connecticut to Virginia and travel delays lasting hours or days from JFK to Reagan Natl.

*The National Weather Service in Upton New York has issued Winter Storm and Blizzard Watches for parts of the New York City Metropolitan Area. Locations in southern portions of Connecticut can expect alerts ranging from Winter Weather Advisories to Blizzard Warnings over the following 24 hours.*

*UPDATE*-  The short range computer models are now in range of this storm and have continued to flip-flop on their positions over the past 18 hours.  The NAM (12 KM) is now calling for the storm to ride further up the Eastern Seaboard and bring over two feet of snow to almost the entire NYC Metro Area.  Other short range computer models such as the WRF-NMM, WRF-ARW, and the RGEM are slowly inching their forecasts further north.  More shifting and settling with more northerly forecasts can be expected over the following day or so as the low pressure that will become this “Snowmageddon V.2” stays closer to the north end of all the previous tracks.

Specific and detailed updates for your area can be found on weather.gov

 

Hurricane Alex Forms in Atlantic, Earliest Since 1938

Hurricane Alex formed in the Northeastern Atlantic today, and is set to impact the Azores Islands overnight into tomorrow.  Hurricane Alex has sustained winds of 85 MPH and is churning due north at 22 MPH.  After impacting the Azores, Alex will become a post-tropical cyclone as it moves to the northwest rapidly.  Alex will end up, most likely as a post-tropical storm or remnant low, near the Northeastern Canadian Maritime or around southern portions of the Greenland Maritime.

US Snow Update: Across the Northeast, more nor’easters can be expected, especially in early to late February, when cold air may mix in to create significant snow events.  In other locations across the United States, more of the same is to be expected in the short term, but there is the potential for a small snow event in and around southern Oklahoma/ northern Texas over the weekend, according to the GFS, the CMC, and the ECMWF computer models.

 

HURRICANE PATRICIA IS THE STRONGEST STORM EVER RECORDED IN THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE

8:00 AM AST 10/23/15: HURRICANE PATRICIA NOW HAS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 210 MPH and a pressure hovering just below 880 millibars as it begins to make landfall on the Central-Pacific Mexican Coastline.

This storm is the third strongest hurricane ever recorded worldwide at the moment and is close to second, with this storm making landfall at its peak, mass destruction can be expected, a storm surge of over 20 feet and winds over 200 MPH with gusts over 250 MPH can also be expected.   For anyone who may reside in these areas, if you have not evacuated already, NOW is the time to do so. For those with interests in these areas around Manzillo, Mexico, please continue to monitor the progress of this storm.

We will continue to update on this catastrophic event.

As Atlantic Hurricane Season Winds Down, Western Mexico Faces Major Hurricane Threat

10/22/15 8:00 PM AST: Hurricane Patricia strengthens rapidly to a Category 4 hurricane, Hurricane Warnings in place.

Although the Atlantic Hurricane Season is winding down, a massive Category 4 Hurricane Patricia is quickly moving towards the Central Mexican Pacific coastline.  This monster storm will also help bring massive amounts of rainfall to these areas along with parts of the Southern United States over the next several days.

The Forecast

At this time yesterday, Hurricane Patricia was only a Tropical Depression with sustained winds of only 35 MPH, and the forecast track was only suggesting the landfall at a maximum of a Category Two storm on the Mexican Coastline.  So what happened?

Well, since yesterday at this time, the forecast models have shifted as to support massive quick development of the storm due to warm ocean waters, and minimal wind shear.  Even though the official forecast track yesterday called for a moderate hurricane impact on the Mexican Coastline, some computer models such as the HWRF and the GFDL (Hurricane Computer Models) suggested that at least a potential Category Three storm impact was possible starting late on Tuesday.  These same computer models have steadily suggested a more violent impact since then.

For anyone with interests across along the Central-Pacific Mexican Coastline, please continue to monitor the storm and visit the NHC’s website for more information.

Joaquin Expected to Impact Bermuda, Watches and Warnings Issued

Weather Bulletin – 10/3/2015 2 PM AST

The National Hurricane Center in Miami Florida has issued a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch for the Islands of Bermuda.  The strong Category Four Hurricane Joaquin is now moving quickly to the northeast towards Bermuda.  Joaquin’s center is expected to pass within 75 miles to the west of Bermuda in about two days, as a potentially high Category Two, or low-grade Category Three storm.  Due to Joaquin’s potential proximity to the island nation, the  NHC urges residents to take precautions immediately and to be prepared for the worst.

We’ll keep you posted – Weather 360