Winter Storm and Blizzard Warnings Issued

A major winter storm is expected to impact the entire New York City Metro Area tonight into Sunday Morning.

Southern Connecticut Overview:  Currently, Southern Fairfield and Southern New Haven Counties are under Winter Storm Warnings.  Locations in southern portions of Northern Fairfield County can expect near-blizzard conditions, but due to less of a threat further north in the county, the National Weather Service has decided to keep the alert level at an advisory (likewise for Northern New Haven County).  Expect wind gusts around 40 MPH with snow totals 6-15 inches.

Southeastern New York Overview: Blizzard conditions for the Greater New York City area along with Long Island.  Winter Storm Warnings for locations just to the north (Westchester County), and continued Winter Storm Watches for locations just to the north of there.  Expect wind gusts potentially reaching 50 MPH with snow totals ranging from 6 to 18 inches.

Northern New Jersey Overview: Winter Storm Warnings issued for Northwestern portions of this area.  Blizzard Warnings closer to the coast.  Expect snow totals ranging from 6 to 24 inches with wind gusts potentially reaching 60 MPH.

For more detailed information, visit weather.gov

As of 1/22/2016 5:00 PM EST

“Snowmageddon v.2” Update

*UPDATE – 6:00 PM EST 1/21/2016*

The first major winter storm for millions across the Northeast is on its way.  This storm is expected to create blizzard conditions from Connecticut to Virginia and travel delays lasting hours or days from JFK to Reagan Natl.

*The National Weather Service in Upton New York has issued Winter Storm and Blizzard Watches for parts of the New York City Metropolitan Area. Locations in southern portions of Connecticut can expect alerts ranging from Winter Weather Advisories to Blizzard Warnings over the following 24 hours.*

*UPDATE*-  The short range computer models are now in range of this storm and have continued to flip-flop on their positions over the past 18 hours.  The NAM (12 KM) is now calling for the storm to ride further up the Eastern Seaboard and bring over two feet of snow to almost the entire NYC Metro Area.  Other short range computer models such as the WRF-NMM, WRF-ARW, and the RGEM are slowly inching their forecasts further north.  More shifting and settling with more northerly forecasts can be expected over the following day or so as the low pressure that will become this “Snowmageddon V.2” stays closer to the north end of all the previous tracks.

Specific and detailed updates for your area can be found on weather.gov

 

First Snowfall in and around New York City!

The unofficial start winter was today across many locations north and west of NYC.  Although no measurable snowfall was recorded, locations from in and around Poughkeepsie to as far south as Salem, Peekskill, and even some locations in western Connecticut, experienced flurries and light snow showers a good one to two months ahead of time.

Why the snow?

Although temperatures in and around the NYC Metro Area were generally higher than freezing at the time of the snow, the temperature in the atmosphere was a bit cooler than freezing, which allowed fast-falling snow to reach the ground before it melted in-air.

Due to the above freezing temperatures of the ground though, many of these snowflakes melted within 30 seconds of contact with the ground.

(The official start of Meteorological Winter is December 1st, and the start of the season Winter is generally considered December 21st.)

Winter 2015-2016 Snow Total Forecasts!

The following pertains to the New York City Metropolitan Area from Nov. 1 – April 1 2016

Winter 2015-2016 Snow Total Forecasts:

The following Weather360 forecast was made by a process in the making for nearly a year.

The New York City Metro Area is likely to receive about 20 more inches of snow than normal. This in part is due to the current El Nino bringing more precipitation to the area, along with current computer model trends that suggest average temperatures in this area will also likely be most prevalent.  Other factors such as Global Emissions and average precipitation and temperature amounts have been taken into account.

For more specific locations expected snow total amounts, visit our Climate360 page.

Is today really April 23rd? I didn’t notice because IT WAS SNOWING!

Its true! Snow was observed in parts of Connecticut and New York around noon today.  So the question is, is winter really over?

Well, today was more of an anomaly, where some cold air mixed in with some precipitation to make some snow and sleet.  There were no known accumulations, and temperatures will also be warmer tomorrow and this weekend.

Stay safe!

Heavy rains and what!??

Early next week a large rain event will spread from the Midwest and Southeast into the Northeast.  But what you may not have known is that the same rain event will bring some of the frozen, fluffy stuff to Maine.  Although not much is currently expected, the snow has the potential to cause some trouble on roadways (including I-95), from Monday evening on into early Wednesday.

Now back to the rainy side of this storm system.  Early on in the week the rain that will move in has the possibility to include some thunderstorms and areas of heavy rain, this threat exists from Maine nearly all the way down the Eastern Seaboard outside of the Northeast.

In this case both the ECMWF computer model and the GFS computer model are agreeing that there will be a large rain (and some snow) event in the Northeast early on this week.

We’ll keep you updated as more information comes out, but enjoy the above average temperatures tomorrow!

Today’s weather- stormy with a chance of baseball sized ice chunks and isolated tornadoes…

Weather 360 will no longer call our 7 PM (EST) post ‘The Latest’, instead, now we will bring in more information, especially about computer models, to all our posts, but will still save some more extra information for the 7 PM (This time is just an average for most of our evening posts) post.

Severe weather ahead?

Yes, although the title of this post is just a “bit” exaggerated, there is still the possibility of some (by some we mean a decent portion…) isolated tornadoes, and a higher chance of some (to use the NOAA’s words for severe thunderstorms just about everywhere severe storms could exist), large hail and damaging winds. Where (and when) will these potentially destructive storms occur?  The answer to that question is most places in the Northeast and today into tomorrow evening.  The most severe storms though will be situated in and around areas such as New York and Pennsylvania (that includes most other states surrounding the states mentioned.)  Live in Upstate New York or somewhere in the rest of northern New England?  You’ll be glad to hear that the severe threat will be further south, especially in the Mid Atlantic…

The Mid Atlantic and southern parts of New England have the greatest odds of receiving some of the severe storms making their way through the Mid West and parts of Pennsylvania and Maryland now.  Be on the lookout for any watches and warnings put out by the National Weather Service.

The severe storms moving through the Mid West now may produce some (a few inches maybe) of snow, but more on the icy side, in northern New England.

For those in northern New England, keep your shovels and ice scrapers nearby, and for those in the rest of New England and the Mid Atlantic, go inside if you hear thunder.

Stay safe!

There was snow last night? Wasn’t it just April yesterday?

There was snow last night?

It is true, the snow fell mainly in Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, and Upstate New York last night due to the falling precipitation mixing in with the cold, below freezing air.  Who was our big winner last night in terms of snow you may ask?  KNOX COUNTY MAINE!  You are our big winner!  You received a whole fresh 6.7 inches of snow according to the National Weather Service!

Now that the celebrating is done…

We would like to move on to our next big weather event, the rain tonight in most of the Northeast, but even more wintry mess for you Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire, and Upstate New York!  Yes it is true, now let us show them what they have won again!  About a tenth or two tenths of an inch of ice is expected across the areas mentioned along with some more sleet and snow!

Okay, what about the rain?

In most of New England that isn’t cold enough and nearly the whole Mid Atlantic, precipitation will start to fall later today into tonight in the form of rain if it has not already begun, be careful, turn around don’t drown, meaning, DON’T DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADS! (It isn’t a good idea…)

Also, be on the lookout for the potential of some severe weather affecting parts of New England the Mid Atlantic tonight into tomorrow.

Stay safe!  And really, don’t drive through flooded roadways.

BEWARE! APRIL IS NOW CONSIDERED A MONTH CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINTRY CONDITIONS!

BEWARE~ APRIL IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINTRY CONDITIONS IN THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES!

Well, can the Northeast ever catch a break?  One moment, winter is wrapping up, the next, seemingly starting back up again!

Tonight and tomorrow morning there is the possibility that cold temperatures in New England could create the conditions that create wintry weather.  Tonight in areas of southern parts of New England, sleet will mix in with rain, creating hazardous driving conditions for the morning commute, especially on I 95 in between Boston and New York. For northern parts of New England, sleet will mix in with freezing rain along with some snow tonight into tomorrow morning, also, creating some more hazardous driving conditions.

Be aware that some roads may also have a layer of black ice on them.  Stay safe!

The Latest: The warm temperature retreat

The Northeast has seen quite a wild early spring in terms of temperatures so far.  From snow on the first day of spring, to temperatures in the 60’s just yesterday, the temperatures in the Northeast seem to not have made up their mind yet on when exactly they want to transition into the more spring-like temperatures they should be right around now.

On this post of the Latest, Weather 360 would also like to say that we will now, go back to our original statement of how every edition of ‘The Latest’ will explain the differences among the computer models.

The Latest:  Why warm temperatures!  Why leave us now!

Well, it is not like the warm temperatures are gone forever, more as if they are just scared of their own shadow and wont come back out for another few days if you know what we mean.

The computer models, explain that.

For tomorrow, both the GFS and the European model suggest that most of Upstate New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, and nearly all of Maine will be trapped in cold, Canadian air.   Whereas they both agree that south of those areas, temperatures will still be cooler than average, but not necessarily so close to the freezing line.  On Wednesday though, the GFS model suggests that the winds will mainly be from the south in the areas affected by colder air tomorrow, which, although the cold temperatures will still be for the most part in the same place, the temperatures will be a bit cooler in locations slightly further to the south, but warming slightly throughout the day.  The European model suggests though for Wednesday that the winds will be from the north and east, which will mean that temperatures have a larger chance for staying the same or declining throughout the day on Wednesday.

Be on the lookout for some icy patches on roadways in locations where the snow may melt during the day and refreeze during the night!

What we didn’t mention though again is the rain over the next several days across the Northeast.  Just keep the fact that there may be some snow mixed in with the rain in northern New England in mind…

Until those icy temperatures arrive in parts of New England, enjoy the remaining heat, and stay safe!