NYC Weather: Winter’s Last Gasp?

This is the Second Edition of the NYC Area Week Outlook by Weather360

Monday:  Snow lingering in the morning will lead to sunnier and drier conditions in the afternoon with highs in the 40’s.  Total snow accumulations of up to several inches are possible in some (mainly eastern)  portions of the area.

Tuesday: Highs nearing 50 will be accompanied by much clearer conditions, making it seem much more like Late-March than Monday did.

Wednesday: Temperatures will finally break 60 degrees n most spots, so say ‘sayonara’ to any remaining snow mounds.

Thursday:  Highs again in the 60’s will make it feel even more like spring, but the threat for showers does increase as the week progresses.

Friday: Highs again in the 60’s will also bring along some light to moderate rain showers.  Only problem though is that its not April yet, so I guess these showers wont bring any May flowers…

The Weekend:  Temperatures in the 50’s along with somewhat clear conditions are likely to remain the most significant weather factor over the weekend.  Although, there is the potential for a Nor’easter to impact the area around Sunday, so it may not be to bad to have some rain gear nearby.

In the event of an emergency weather situation, please consult the NWS at weather.gov and/or your local Emergency Management Office.

Winter Storm May Bring Snow to The Northeast

The National Weather Service has issued Winter Storm Watches for portions of Eastern New England.  A potentially significant winter weather event is expected to impact the I-95 corridor from New Jersey to Maine starting at the end of the week.   As this is a late-season (or early depending on how you look at it, early-season) snow event, it will likely bring a heavier, wetter snow along with some mixed precipitation.

Starting Sunday afternoon, snow will start accumulating mostly on uncovered dirt surfaces, before quickly moving onto grassy and paved surfaces as the ground cools overtime.   Total accumulations will range from an inch or two, to nearly 10 inches in some spots, with more snow further to the east.

More on this event on our Winter Weather Center page

NYC Weather: Rain, Milder Temperatures, and Snow This Week?

This is the First Edition of the NYC Area Week Outlook by Weather360

Monday: Rain moving across the area will be accompanied by cooler temperatures hovering in and around the 40’s.

Tuesday: Rain will taper off towards the late morning leading to cloudy conditions with highs maybe reaching the 50’s.

Wednesday:  Some showers with temperatures around the 60 degree mark will create a more spring-like feel again.

Thursday:  Some light rain showers will bring slightly cooler temperatures in the mid 50’s.

Friday: Clear skies are expected along with temperatures still in the mid 50’s.

Weekend:  Saturday will be much like Friday, but the potential for a significant Nor’easter exists starting Sunday, lasting into early next week.  This year, Punxsutawney Phil may actually end up being wrong, as cooler temperatures may create some wintry precipitation across the area, but nothing is set in stone quite yet.

 

In the event of an emergency weather situation, please consult the NWS at weather.gov and/or your local Emergency Management Office.

BLIZZARD SHIFTS NORTH

January 23, 2016 Update:

THE TRACK FOR THIS BLIZZARD HAS SHIFTED NORTH.  LOCATIONS IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT ARE NOW UNDER BLIZZARD AND WINTER STORM WARNINGS.

In locations across the New York City Metro Area, the snow has already started to accumulate.  The National Weather Service is now calling for a foot or more in most of the Metro Area.  Expect an additional foot or more of snow with some brief bursts of thunder snow throughout the day starting at 7 am.

The storm has the potential to create extremely dangerous road conditions at times today even in areas not specified under Blizzard Warnings.

There is the potential for widespread power outages across the Tri-State area.

Before making any decisions regarding the weather.  Visit weather.gov.

Winter Storm and Blizzard Warnings Issued

A major winter storm is expected to impact the entire New York City Metro Area tonight into Sunday Morning.

Southern Connecticut Overview:  Currently, Southern Fairfield and Southern New Haven Counties are under Winter Storm Warnings.  Locations in southern portions of Northern Fairfield County can expect near-blizzard conditions, but due to less of a threat further north in the county, the National Weather Service has decided to keep the alert level at an advisory (likewise for Northern New Haven County).  Expect wind gusts around 40 MPH with snow totals 6-15 inches.

Southeastern New York Overview: Blizzard conditions for the Greater New York City area along with Long Island.  Winter Storm Warnings for locations just to the north (Westchester County), and continued Winter Storm Watches for locations just to the north of there.  Expect wind gusts potentially reaching 50 MPH with snow totals ranging from 6 to 18 inches.

Northern New Jersey Overview: Winter Storm Warnings issued for Northwestern portions of this area.  Blizzard Warnings closer to the coast.  Expect snow totals ranging from 6 to 24 inches with wind gusts potentially reaching 60 MPH.

For more detailed information, visit weather.gov

As of 1/22/2016 5:00 PM EST

Winter Storm Alert

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NEW YORK HAS ISSUED BLIZZARD WARNINGS FOR ALL OF LONG ISLAND, PARTS OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY, AND FOR THE GREATER NEW YORK CITY AREA.  WINTER STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FROM SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT TO NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY.

For locations not in Blizzard Warnings, very near-blizzard conditions can be expected, with visibility less than 1/2 mile at times.  Power also has the potential to go out, as high wind gusts and heavy, wet snow can be expected for about 20 hours.

For more information, please visit weather.gov

“Snowmageddon v.2” Update

*UPDATE – 6:00 PM EST 1/21/2016*

The first major winter storm for millions across the Northeast is on its way.  This storm is expected to create blizzard conditions from Connecticut to Virginia and travel delays lasting hours or days from JFK to Reagan Natl.

*The National Weather Service in Upton New York has issued Winter Storm and Blizzard Watches for parts of the New York City Metropolitan Area. Locations in southern portions of Connecticut can expect alerts ranging from Winter Weather Advisories to Blizzard Warnings over the following 24 hours.*

*UPDATE*-  The short range computer models are now in range of this storm and have continued to flip-flop on their positions over the past 18 hours.  The NAM (12 KM) is now calling for the storm to ride further up the Eastern Seaboard and bring over two feet of snow to almost the entire NYC Metro Area.  Other short range computer models such as the WRF-NMM, WRF-ARW, and the RGEM are slowly inching their forecasts further north.  More shifting and settling with more northerly forecasts can be expected over the following day or so as the low pressure that will become this “Snowmageddon V.2” stays closer to the north end of all the previous tracks.

Specific and detailed updates for your area can be found on weather.gov

 

Final Preliminary January Forecast

Using several different long range computer models, we have concluded that there will likely be a about a 1 degree increase from the average temperatures across the NYC Metro Area in January, along with a slight increase, of about half an inch, of precipitation.

What this means that there will likely be a slightly elevated amount of wintry precipitation across the area.

More information will be posted shortly.

Hurricane Joaquin is a Category Four Storm, Track Uncertainty Remains

As of October 1 2015 12:00 PM Atlantic Standard Time (EDT)

Hurricane Hunter Aircraft flying at low altitudes has recovered wind speeds upwards of 115 Knots (About 130 MPH), and the storm now has a Mean Sea-level Pressure (MSLP) of 939 millibars. Joaquin is still moving southwest into The Bahamas, but is expected to reach the Jet Stream shortly and begin its turn to the north.  At this moment, one on a satellite image may view this change in direction, as it has just begun.  As this has just begun, the storm is still moving to the west, so the storm will likely stay on the slightly westward side of the current NHC Track Cone issued at the 11 AM 15 Advisory Update.  At the moment many of the computer models seem to be incorrect in saying it would temporarily stall out in The Bahamas and sling-shotting to the northeast, for the storm has started to move slightly to the northwest.

Locations across the East Coast that need to be on alert are: North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Maine.

More updates soon here on Weather360.

For emergency information, consult the NHC at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN TO STRENGTHEN AND IMPACT THE EAST COAST

Overnight:  Hurricane Warnings and Watches has been issued for The Bahamas, as Tropical Storm Joaquin is expected to strengthen to a hurricane shortly and impact The Bahamas over the next two to three days.  The NHC track has also shifted to the west, with a track that has Hurricane Joaquin impacting The East Coast anywhere from New Jersey to Rhode Island this coming Monday or Tuesday.

Everyone from Virginia to Rhode Island should continue to monitor this storm and be prepared for every scenario for your area.  Now is the time to make sure you have what you need in the event a hurricane impacts you.

The Models:

The current most popular trend with some of the more major, long range computer models, all try to bring this storm into  locations just south of Delaware, but other major computer models such as the ECMWF and the TVCN (The most popular among the NHC) suggest a more easterly track, which will likely shift the current general trend back up to the north and east once more, but yet again, we can not predict this with 100% accuracy, for this storm has been rapidly strengthening so much, every single computer model seems to shift in every which direction  every model run…

We’ll continue to monitor the storm for you – Weather360 9/30/15