Northeast – Page 3 – Weather 360

Tropical Storm Joaquin Expected to Strengthen and May Impact East Coast

September 29, 2015Posted in Major Storm, Tropical CyclonesTagged 10-20 inches of rain, 3.A.S., Atlantic cyclone, Atlantic Hurricane Season, CMC, connecticut, Delaware, East Coast Hurricane Threat, ECMWF, GFDL, GFS, Hurricane Joaquin, HWRF, Joaquin, Landfall Index, Level II Alert, Level III Alert, Maryland, Massachusetts, New England, New Jersey, new york, New York City Metro Area, Northeast, Rhode Island, Tropical Storm Joaquin, VirginiaLeave a comment

Over the past several computer model runs, Tropical Storm Joaquin has been shown to become a large, violent hurricane and impact the East Coast, potentially anywhere from Virginia to Massachusetts. Although there is a ‘general’ trend that shows the storm turn into the US East Coast, there are major differences in exact strength and location.

ECMWF VS GFS:

The 12z run of the ECMWF and the 18z run of the GFS have some very major differences. For instance, the ECMWF shows a large and violent storm off of the coast of Florida, that quickly turns away out to sea and fizzles out over the open Atlantic. The GFS shows a less strong storm developing near The Bahamas over the next several days and moving up the coast to impact mostly Virginia, Maryland, and Delaware initially, before moving up as a weaker system towards the rest of the Northeast.

At the moment though, it seems no matter what situation occurs, more than 10 inches of rain is likely to fall across the Northeast before next Wednesday.

We’ll continue to keep an eye on this system as its track becomes more and more clear.

Soon-To-Be Tropical Storm Joaquin Expected to Impact Northeast This Weekend

September 28, 2015Posted in Tropical CyclonesTagged 3.A.S., Atlantic Hurricane Season, connecticut, GFDL, Hurricane Preparedness, HWRF, Level II Enhanced Alert, Massachussetts, New England Coastline, New Jersey, new york, Northeast, Rhode Island, Tropical Depression Eleven, Tropical Storm JoaquinLeave a comment

Over the past two days, Weather 360 has been monitoring the development of newly formed Tropical Depression Eleven (soon to be Tropical Storm Joaquin.) Over the past 24 hours though, somewhat ludicrous information has been streaming out from many of the well regarded computer models. This information includes that of a named Tropical Storm or potentially Hurricane, impacting the New England Coastline later this week and into the weekend.

The Stats:

Tropical Depression Eleven is currently moving west at 5 MPH, and is expected to make a sharp northerly turn over the next 48 hours towards the East Coast. The current pressure is already 1003 Millibars, well ahead of the expected pressure and has sustained winds of 35 MPH with surface gusts reaching upwards of 40 MPH. The storm is located north and east of The Bahamas and may threaten the following locations with Tropical Storm force or above winds: Bermuda, New Jersey, New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachussetts, and potentially New Hampshire, and Maine.

The Computer Models:

At the moment, many of the different computer models are suggesting pretty much what the NHC track as of 5:00 PM EDT/AST suggests, a sharp turn to the north and potentially a re-curve to the west straight into locations such as New York, Connecticut, and New Jersey.

Please consult the National Hurricane Center and your emergency management office over the next few days as this becomes more and more certain to make your plan.

Rain and thunder moving in over the weekend could pose a threat to millions

July 22, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged 3.A.S., high temperatures, Level III Alert, Mid Atlantic, New England, New York City Metro Area, Northeast, rain, rain showers, severe weather, thunderstorm, Weather, weather forecast, Weather NewsLeave a comment

A LEVEL III ALERT MESSAGE BY WEATHER 360 WILL BE RELEASED TOMORROW MORNING AS A PART OF OUR NEW 3.A.S. SYSTEM

The next few days across the Tri-State Area will be for the most part, calm. With temperatures in the mid to upper 80’s and little to no clouds in the sky, the next few days will feel like true Summer, unlike the temperatures from several days ago that made everyone feel like it was May again. Although temperatures will be roughly the same during the start of next week, the potential for rain and thunderstorms will start to appear starting around early or midday Sunday. Therefore, over the next 24 hours, Weather 360 will initiate its first issue of the 3.A.S. (3-Leveled Alert System.) In this case, an Increasing Level III Alert will be issued as of tomorrow morning. This means not only to be alert and aware that potentially threatening weather may move into our area over the next 36 hours or so, but also means that the threat level will likely increase to either Level II, or potentially a Level I, Most Urgent Alert. If this alert was only a normal Level III Alert, then the threat level would likely not increase and one would only have to remain aware of the incoming weather conditions.

Weather 360 introduces a 3-Level Alert System as severe storms target the East Coast

July 14, 2015July 14, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged 3-level Alert System, New York City Metro Area, Northeast, severe storms, severe weatherLeave a comment

Along with a stream of Weather Broadcasts on our YouTube channel, Weather 360, we would also like to release and test a 3-Level Alert System, which we have abbreviated 3.A.S (not purposely based on E.A.S, which is the NWS’ Emergency Alert System), in which Weather 360 outlines threats on a 3 leveled system that places different types of alert at either of the following;

Level I: Most Urgent

Level II: Elevated Alert

Level III: Alert

Guidelines for the Alert System

Level I situations: This event must be within the next 24 hours and may either have a watch or warning from the NWS associated with it or is expected to have a watch or warning shortly. This event is expected to pose a potential threat to an area and is classified as Most Urgent. In these situations it is always best to gather last-minute supplies for the storm.

Level II situations: This event must be within the next 48 hours and could pose a potential threat to an area. Depending on the event, a watch may already be issued for this area. If your area is given a Level II Elevated Alert, the time is now to be on your way to preparation for the potential threat.

Level III situations: This event must be within the next 72 hours and has the possibility to pose a potential threat. Depending on the event, a watch may already be issued for this area. If your area is under a Level III threat, now is the time to start preparation for the potential threat.

Heavy rain and thunderstorms sweeping across the country come closer to the Atlantic

July 13, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Canadian Maritime, facebook, hail, heat wave, heavy rain, lightning, New York City Metro Area, Northeast, severe storms, severe weather, tornado, Tropical Storm, Tropical Storm Claudette, wind, YoutubeLeave a comment

As of 00 UTC, 8 PM EDT: Thunderstorms moving to the southeast from western portions of Virginia are maintaining enough strength to produce storms capable of damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning, and heavy rain as to classify them as severe. Thunderstorms developing in upper portions of the Midwest have the potential to produce tornadoes and more severe weather as night approaches, these thunderstorms are all moving to the east-southeast.

The Tropics: Newly formed Tropical Storm Claudette has maximum sustained winds of about 50 MPH and is moving to the Northeast off of the Mid Atlantic coast to the southeast of Nantucket. The storm is expected to make landfall near Nova Scotia as a Tropical Depression with some winds and rains, along with rip currents.

Tomorrow’s forecast: Thunderstorms developing in the Midwest will have moved far enough east to begin to affect locations in and around NYC and other locations along the I-95 Corridor. With a high temperature hovering around the mid 80’s and clouds moving in early on in the day, the heat index is likely to be lower than that of yesterday, meaning that temperatures will not feel as hot as they did earlier today. Later on tomorrow, more showers will start to move in and the potential for thunderstorms, some occasionally severe, increases.

For more information on weather across the United States, the Tropics, and more, watch our latest YouTube video as the channel Weather 360, and to start the discussion, visit us and post on our Facebook page at https://www.facebook.com/weather360.net

Watch out New York! Severe thunderstorms are moving in!

July 9, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged connecticut, flash flood, New Jersey, new york, New York City Metro Area, Northeast, severe storms, severe weather, tornadoLeave a comment

Starting early this evening severe thunderstorms moving in from Pennsylvania and the Midwest into our area. For locations in and around the city thunderstorms will arrive this evening and potentially cause some severe thunderstorms capable of producing some damaging winds, heavy rain, hail, frequent lightning, and potentially some isolated tornadoes. For locations in and around the city, the severe side of these storms will likely move out by very early tomorrow morning and will begin to taper off as some rain.

Already areas from Ohio to the Cape are under Flash Flood Watches, meaning when the rain moves in later today there will be the potential, much like a few days ago, for some flash floods to occur. If the National Weather Service does think that there is the potential for flash floods imminently over a specific area, they will issue a Flash Flood Warning, in which all weather radios and cellular devices in the specified area will start sounding an alarm to warn the public of the danger (likewise in the event of a tornado). Remember to turn around if you see standing or moving water, the apparent depth of the water may be different from the true depth of the water.

In the event of an alarm sounding in your area whether it be from a cell phone or from a radio, heed ANY AND ALL advice the message offers to ensure safety today and tonight.

Remember also to check the National Weather Service’s website (weather.gov or noaa.gov) if you believe there may be a severe threat either near or at your location over a short period of time.

ENHANCED RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES TODAY IN AND AROUND NYC

June 23, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged enhanced risk, hail, large hail, lightning, Northeast, nyc, severe storms, severe weather, tornado, windLeave a comment

ALERT: OVER THE NEXT 2 HOURS, A VERY INTENSE AND SEVERE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE NYC AREA, THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND POTENTIALLY SOME ISOLATED TORNADOES.

An enhanced risk for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes does exist today now for the NYC Metro Area, this means there is an elevated likelihood, or enhanced likelihood of 1-2 inch in diameter hail, frequent lightning, and a few potential tornadoes. The enhanced risk set out by the SPC (spc.noaa.gov), also advises that due to an elevated risk of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes, that everyone keeps an eye to the sky and to any watches or warnings that are set out by the NWS/NOAA. Here at Weather 360 we advise this as well, but also that you do NOT ignore watches or warnings and common sense, such as “going indoors as thunder roars”, or to take over immediately if there is a potential threat to life due to a weather event.

Please stay tuned to Weather 360, but remember to keep an eye to the sky and to check the NWS periodically for any new watches or warnings that may regard you personally.

Severe Thunderstorms Possible Tomorrow!

June 22, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Northeast, nyc, rain, severe storms, severe weather, thunderstormLeave a comment

CAUTION: TOMORROW MORNING INTO EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS AND RAIN WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE NEW YORK CITY AREA.

Over the next day, rain coming from the Midwest will start to move to the east towards the Northeast. The rain event that will be moving into the Northeast will be accompanied by some severe thunderstorms that may bring some small hail, gusty winds, and heavy rains. Along with this, temperatures will cool slightly to a more comfortable temperature outdoors come the next few days as even more rain moves through later this week. Mainly tomorrow though Weather 360 advises keeping an eye to the sky and be aware of any severe thunderstorm alerts set out for your specific area by the NWS.

Rain is moving into our area tonight

June 20, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Atlantic Hurricane Season, bi, flooding, hurricane season, Hurricane Season 2015, Mid Atlantic, Northeast, rain, Texas Coastline, tropical depressionLeave a comment

The remnants of Bill, still a Tropical Depression with winds of 20 MPH, is expected to move right over the New York Metro Area tonight and tomorrow, bringing with it heavy rains and some gusty winds. The amounts of rain that will fall in and around the city will likely be no more than an inch or two, with the exception in some localized areas. Mainly, this storm system will be a rain maker that will start out the week with soggy conditions, but let this not be any premonition for the rest of the week, for drier and higher temperatures can be expected. Tonight and tomorrow of you are heading outdoors or planning to head outdoors, we at Weather 360 do advise you keep an umbrella handy invade of a sudden downpour.

Tropical Depression Bill to impact the East Coast with rain, wind, and more rain

June 19, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged high humidity, Hurricane Season 2015, Midwest, Northeast, rain, tropical depression, Tropical Storm Bill, windLeave a comment

Although Tropical Depression Bill has only 20 mph winds and has already let go of all its moisture in Oklahoma, it is still expected to maintain a Tropical Depression status while moving over portions of the Mid Atlantic and New England. For those wondering if New York will suffer from heavy rains from Bill, the truth is, yes, on Sunday, areas from Maryland to Connecticut will be the victims of high humidity, gusty winds, and heavy rains. Even though the Northeast will be suffering from heavy rains on Sunday, the total amount of rain will likely all be below 3 inches, which is less than half of what some areas in the Mid West have received over the past few days from Bill.

Overall, the Northeast, and the New York Metro Area will have to deal with a soggy Sunday this weekend.