Atlantic Hurricane Season – Page 2

Tropical Storm Erika takes aim on Caribbean Islands, but then what?

August 25, 2015Posted in Tropical CyclonesTagged Atlantic Hurricane Season, Bahamas, Caribbean Islands, ECMWF, Euro, Hurricane, Hurricane Season 2015, Invest 98L, Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Southeastern United States, Tropical Storm Erika, Virgin IslandsLeave a comment

As of 7:00 AM EDT/AST

Tropical Storm Erika has sustained Winds of about 45 MPH, with gusts from 50 to 60 MPH. The storm is moving to the west-northwest at 20 mph towards the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the Bahamas.

The Track

Tropical Storm Erika is expected to keep a track trough the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Already due to this threat, Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for parts of the Leeward Islands. After skimming parts of Hispaniola with its southern side, Erika will begin to move towards the Bahamas, but it is after here where things get interesting.

Let’s talk computer models

For a start, the European Computer Model (ECMWF or Euro) suggests that Erika will stall just north of the Bahamas due to a somewhat aggravating high pressure, this would happen likely until the high pressure moves to the east, then Erika would be allowed to trek the East Coast as a potentially monster-like storm. Of course, we still have several days to go until we know exactly the final destination for Erika, which is officially expected to become a hurricane by the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida.

Let’s bring in some of our spaghetti models now… Let’s start with some of the intensity computer models. At the moment, the majority of the computer models seem to bring Erika to hurricane strength in about 3-5 days, and continue it on a strengthening path after that. So there is limited disagreement between the current intensity models, but the spaghetti computer track models do have some disagreement on whether Erika will trek into the Gulf, or track up the coast at least to some degree.

Official Alerts: Tropical Storm Watches in effect for the Leeward Islands.

Weather 360 3.A.S.: Level III Alert, be aware that the potential for hazardous weather over the next two weeks may be felt along the US Southeast Coastline due to Tropical Storm Erika.

We here at Weather 360 will continue to keep you updated.

HURRICANE DANNY QUICKLY STRENGTHENS WHILE KEEPING ITS EYE SET ON THE CARIBBEAN ISLANDS

August 21, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Atlantic cyclone, Atlantic Hurricane Season, Bahamas, Hispaniola, Hurricane Danny, Hurricane Season 2015, Leeward Islands, Potential Landfall, Potential US Landfall, Puerto RicoLeave a comment

As of 11 AM this morning, Hurricane Danny is a 105 MPH wind, category two hurricane, with a pressure of about 980 millibars, and is making its way slowly to the west-northwest at about 12 MPH.

Not only was this not expected at this time, but due to this rapid strengthening, the intensity models have been steadily increasing the forecasted strength of Danny over the next week or so.

This is the intensity spaghetti model forecast provided by Tropical Tidbits.

Where is Danny Heading?

Locations that may be impacted by Danny over the next five days are the following: The northern Leeward Islands, The Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, The Turks and Caicos, and the Bahamas.

At the moment we are not ruling out a US impact by any means.

Visit our Hurricanes page for more information on the intensity and path of Hurricane Danny.

Tropical Depression Four expected to strengthen and move towards Caribbean

August 18, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Atlantic Hurricane Season, Atlantic Hurricane Season 2015, Hurricane, Hurricane Season 2015, Lesser Antilles, Potential Landfall, Tropical Depression 4, Tropical Storm DannyLeave a comment

This morning at 8 AM Eastern Time, the NHC declared former Invest 96L a Tropical Depression, the fourth of the season in the Tropical Atlantic Basin. With a tightening circulation and strengthening winds, we here at Weather 360 can start to assume that this system will become Tropical Storm Danny shortly. Although this system is moving slowly, and any impact to land is days out, many computer models are not ruling out the potential for a full-scale hurricane to form briefly before impacting the Lesser Antilles over the next several days to a week.

The most recent satellite image from the NOAA of TD Four

We’ll keep you posted

TORNADOES RIP THROUGH PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT

June 21, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Atlantic Hurricane Season, Delaware, flooding, high water rescue, Maryland, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, rain, tornado, tornado warning, tropical depression, Tropical Storm Bill, VirginiaLeave a comment

BREAKING NEWS: Multiple tornado warnings issued last night for places in Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey

The remnants of Tropical Storm Bill, while moving over Virginia still Tropical Depression Bill, brought in several lines of extremely dangerous and severe thunderstorms accompanied with rotation sufficient enough to produce tornadoes. These thunderstorms also dumped whatever was left of Bill’s moisture as well, in some places over 3 inches of rain fell in less than an hour. There were many flash flood, river flood, and flood warnings issued for areas from the Midwest to New Jersey last night as well, causing the need for some high water rescues by local fire departments and others. For anyone anywhere in the United States that may be impacted by a tornado (basically everywhere), remember that although it may be interesting to watch and videotape a tornado or any type of severe storm, whenever the warning goes out for you, take all precautions and heed every warning in order to stay safe.

Rain is moving into our area tonight

June 20, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Atlantic Hurricane Season, bi, flooding, hurricane season, Hurricane Season 2015, Mid Atlantic, Northeast, rain, Texas Coastline, tropical depressionLeave a comment

The remnants of Bill, still a Tropical Depression with winds of 20 MPH, is expected to move right over the New York Metro Area tonight and tomorrow, bringing with it heavy rains and some gusty winds. The amounts of rain that will fall in and around the city will likely be no more than an inch or two, with the exception in some localized areas. Mainly, this storm system will be a rain maker that will start out the week with soggy conditions, but let this not be any premonition for the rest of the week, for drier and higher temperatures can be expected. Tonight and tomorrow of you are heading outdoors or planning to head outdoors, we at Weather 360 do advise you keep an umbrella handy invade of a sudden downpour.

Soggy next few days expected as Bill traverses the country

June 18, 2015June 18, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Atlantic Hurricane Season, hurricane season, Hurricane Season 2015, Midwest, Northeast, nyc, rain, Tropical Storm BillLeave a comment

As Bill swirls around over Oklahoma, it is starting to drift more and more eastward. Bill is still considered a huge threat to millions as several inches of rain could induce more flooding across areas from Oklahoma to Rhode Island as it crosses the country, especially in areas that have undergone severe flooding just several weeks ago. Be on the lookout for some thunderstorms in the Northeast and try to plan around potentially heavy rains on Sunday throughout the Northeast. Also, although slim, there is a potential for some severe storms to pop up in the NYC area on Sunday, so please heed all warnings set forth by the NWS.

Thank you and we hope you come again to Weather 360!

BILL EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS MIDWEST TONIGHT AND TOMORROW WHILE A 7.0 MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKE OCCURS IN THE SOUTH ATLANTIC

June 17, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged atlantic, Atlantic Hurricane Season, earthquake, hurricane season, Hurricane Season 2015, Midwest, Northeast, Tropical Storm Bill, tsunamiLeave a comment

BREAKING NEWS: A 7.0 MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED ON THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC RIDGE, THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT FOR ANY LOCATION SURROUNDING THIS AREA.

Tropical Depression Bill

As Bill continues to swirl its way into Oklahoma, the rain bands extending into the Gulf of Mexico from its center are beginning to move northward as well. The rain from this system is the biggest threat thus far for the remnants of Bill, with up to 8 inches of rain in southern Oklahoma, to several inches of rain expected to fall over a 500 mile long path across the United States over the next few days, to the possibility of severe thunderstorms, Bill has proved itself to be one large rain maker.

Okay, okay, we know that there will be large amounts of rain, but how will this affect me? Well, as Bill dumps its remaining moisture over the US, already flooded rivers from just a few weeks ago that have not already returned to normal will pose a potentially catastrophic threat to anyone living on or near shorelines to rivers or streams. Also, in areas such as the Northeast, occasional downpours may cause flash flooding, which can take anyone by surprise.

Now that we have said how Bill may affect you, Weather 360 hopes that if you are to be impacted by any element of this storm, that you will be safe and heed all advisories, watches, and warnings set out by your local NWS (National Weather Service) office(s).

TROPICAL STORM BILL MAKES LANDFALL NEAR GALVESTON

June 16, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Atlantic Hurricane Season, flooding, Gulf of Mexico, Texas Coastline, Tropical Storm, Tropical Storm BillLeave a comment

This morning the NHC classified an area of disturbed weather with winds of 60 MPH with a well defined center of circulation as the second Tropical Storm of the year and the second Tropical Storm to make landfall this year in the United States, Tropical Storm Bill. Currently, areas from the Louisiana border with Texas to the Mexican border near Brownsville are receiving some storm surge and winds in excess of 60 MPH along with torrential rains moving ashore. The NHC has issued Tropical Storm Warnings for the majority of the Texan eastern coast. Several computer models are hinting (if not all of them) at the possibility of this storm maintaining at the very least Tropical Depression status several hundred miles inland, possibly to areas as far from the coast as Illinois or Indiana. This storm is also bringing torrential rains to traverse the country as an abundance of tropical moisture comes through via Tropical Storm Bill. So, over the following days, rain will continue to spread over hard hit areas by flooding just about a week and a half ago, potentially bringing back severe flooding to areas susceptible to flooding.

For anyone in areas that are on the coast in Texas that will be impacted by Tropical Storm Bill, remain indoors unless absolutely necessary, and if you just go outdoors, exercise extreme caution and heed all warnings set out by the NHC.

Stay safe!

WATCH OUT TEXAS! SOON TO BE TROPICAL STORM BILL TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR GALVESTON

June 15, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Atlantic Hurricane Season, current weather conditions, flooding, Gulf of Mexico, hurricane season, Hurricane Season 2015, Invest 91L, Texas Coastline, Tropical Storm BillLeave a comment

Current Invest 91L (As of 7:00 PM EST June 15th 2015), is now expected to become Tropical Storm Bill later on this night before making landfall somewhere between Port Lavaca, Texas and Galveston, Texas. This storm already has sustained winds of about 45 MPH and is quickly developing a more organized center of circulation. This storm will dump anywhere between 2 and 8 inches of rain from the Texas coastline to Indiana and Ohio before losing all of its remaining moisture over land. Current invest 91L will also likely maintain its strength for several hundred miles inland as a Tropical Storm with winds above 40 MPH and torrential rains until it reaches the Missouri border with Kansas. For anyone living on or near the coastline between Galveston and Port Lavaca, please consult the NHC or your local emergency management center, and for those who live near or on the shoreline of a river or stream that is prone to flooding, please keep yourself up-to-date with any advisories, watches, or even warnings that may come your way as a result of this storm system, and do not forget to finish up any emergency preparations before the storm hits you.

We will keep you up to date and for detailed information regarding the soon to be Tropical Storm Bill, consult first with the NHC, then come on over to our Hurricanes 360 page to see what we here at Weather 360 could do to help you ride out the storm.

Stay safe!

*We would also like to apologize for the mix up on our last post, Invest 91L is the storm in the Gulf of Mexico, Invest 90L was Tropical Storm Ana in early May before it developed.

SOON TO BE TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO TO IMPACT THE TEXAS COASTLINE

June 14, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Atlantic Hurricane Season, Gulf of Mexico, Hurricane Season 2015, Invest90L, Texas Coastline, tropical disturbanceLeave a comment

INVEST 90L IS NOW EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM ON THE TEXAS COASTLINE.

In less than 3 days, current Invest 90L is expected to strengthen to a Tropical Depression or Storm and make landfall somewhere between Galveston, Texas, and the Louisiana border. This storm is expected to not only bring some wind and some storm surge threats, but this storm will bring in enough moisture to cause intense rains and thunderstorms that may cause flooding.

Here’s a look at the GFS’s forecasted amount of precipitation

As you can see, over the next 5 or so days, the moisture from the current Invest 90L will make its way through the central United States, before dumping the last of its rain on the majority of the Northeast and portions of Southeastern Canada. Be on the lookout for heavy rains mid to late week next week in and around NYC.

For more information on Invest 90L, go to our Hurricanes page, and for emergency information for floods or tropical cyclone watches or warnings please refer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and weather.gov.