April 2015 – Weather 360

3…2…1 HAPPY HURRICANE SEASON, well in about 30 days…

April 29, 2015April 29, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Atlantic Hurricane Season, forecasts, hurricane season, Hurricane Season 2015Leave a comment

Why the title one may ask? Well, it’s because over the past several days the GFS and the ECMWF computer models have been hinting at the development of a tropical disturbance soon near the eastern coast of the United States. (Also, this hurricane season, although expected to be below average, could potentially not be very happy for some…)

The potential storm does not look like, at the moment, to be a threat to the coastline, but since this storm has survived the changes of the computer models over the past several days, we will continue to update you when more significant developments occur.

For anyone who would like to know, this storm does not appear to be, again at the moment, to strengthen into a full fledged hurricane, but we will update you as the forecasts become clearer and clearer.

7.8 MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKE STRIKES NEPAL

April 28, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged earthquake, mass devastation, NepalLeave a comment

The overdue earthquake that rocked Nepal was measured at a massive, 7.8 magnitude earthquake. on the Richter Scale. To put this in context, the Loma Prieta earthquake of 1989 (San Francisco), was only measured at 6.9, and although significantly weaker than the recent Nepal earthquake, caused mass devastation and created almost 4000 injuries.

At the moment, the Nepal earthquake death toll is close to 5000, with some foretasted estimates to be closer to the 10000 mark. An earthquake such as this one, only occurs about every 60 to 80 years in Nepal. The last massive earthquake Nepal has experienced was an 8.0 magnitude in 1934. This earthquake was basically on queue in terms of timing, and although geologists have warned for at least a decade or two that the “big one” was imminent, Nepal does not seem as prepared as it could have been.

So far, about 20 people have been found killed by avalanches on Mount Everest and the number of the missing is not currently known.

In places as far as New Delhi, India and Tibet, China, the earthquake was felt, creating a better image of just how massive and large this earthquake really was.

For information on earthquake safety and how others and you can be prepared, go to http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learn/preparedness.php

Is today really April 23rd? I didn’t notice because IT WAS SNOWING!

April 23, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged current weather conditions, low temperatures, Mid Atlantic, New England, New York City Metro Area, Northeast, snow, snow fallingLeave a comment

Its true! Snow was observed in parts of Connecticut and New York around noon today. So the question is, is winter really over?

Well, today was more of an anomaly, where some cold air mixed in with some precipitation to make some snow and sleet. There were no known accumulations, and temperatures will also be warmer tomorrow and this weekend.

Stay safe!

The Weather Channel releases another below average Hurricane Season 2015 forecast

April 22, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Atlantic Hurricane Season, forecasts, hurricane season, Hurricane Season 2015Leave a comment

This time around it is still the same, a below average Hurricane Season 2015…

The Weather Channel has just released their April Hurricane Season forecast calling for 9 named storms, 5 hurricanes, and only 1 major hurricane. This, according to their article on their website about their newest forecast, implies that an El Nino, which normally inhibits Tropical Atlantic Basin cyclones, will have a large role to play in this year’s amount of tropical cyclones.

Weather 360 has been looking at the longer range forecasts, the April forecasts made by places such as Colorado State and TSR, and large factors already showing themselves in the Atlantic and Pacific, and we have been starting to see a growing potential for a less active Hurricane Season.

That’s all for now and we’ll keep you up to date on all of the latest developments on this Hurricane Season.

Severe thunderstorms could produce life-threatening conditions, SOON

April 22, 2015April 22, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged current weather conditions, forecasts, hail, Mid Atlantic, National Weather Service, New England, New York City Metro Area, Northeast, radar, rain, severe storms, severe weatherLeave a comment

In the NYC Metro Area especially, in a couple of hours the potential for severe, and potentially life threatening conditions will come into play. If you have not already noticed or have not yet been outdoors, the temperatures have begun to cool and wind speeds have also begun to pick up ahead of the storm.

What will these severe storms include?

First of all, a severe storm normally needs to have the following to be classified as a severe storm; hail, gusty winds, lightning, and heavy rain (for more, go to our Terms to Know page), which happens to be the exact components of the storms expected to line up and sweep through nearly all 31 counties in the NYC Metro Area.

Wait a second, most of those components aren’t deadly, right?

Well not exactly, because thinking about the effects of hail, gusty winds, lightning, and heavy rain, you may come to realize that hail can damage windows, vehicles, and cause serious injury, gusty winds can knock down trees and power lines, lightning can electrocute items and people, and last, but now least, heavy rains can create flash flooding. So know that you know some of the effects of the components that create a severe thunderstorm, you will hopefully know how to properly protect yourself and you property from one.

Be on the lookout for any severe thunderstorm watches or warnings, and stay safe!

Thunderstorms are coming!

April 22, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Atlantic Hurricane Season, forecasts, hail, hurricane season, Hurricane Season 2015, Manhattan, National Weather Service, New York City Metro Area, severe stormsLeave a comment

Over the next several hours thunderstorms will begin to develop in the New York City metro area. Some of these storms could produce large hail and damaging winds, so please if you are caught in a severe storm take cover immediately to avoid any injury. Today there’s also the potential for flash flooding across all low lying areas and in areas near rivers or streams. Later today there’s also the potential for gusty winds to cause some downed trees and power outages. Be aware that at almost any time the National Weather Service may issue an advisory, a watch, or a warning.

Hurricane Season 2015

Although most of the major sources for forecasting the next hurricane season have been predicting a quiet, below average hurricane season, Weather 360 would like to remind everyone that it only takes one hurricane landfall to make a big difference across a wide area that could be anywhere on the Atlantic Basin coast from Maine to Texas.

Stay safe!

Severe storms tomorrow

April 21, 2015April 21, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged New York City Metro Area, rain, severe stormsLeave a comment

Tomorrow there will be a line of severe storms moving through our area. Some of the severe storms could produce large hail and damaging winds in certain cells. The stormes will continue into the overnight hours and could be potentially dangerous even done so please heed all warnings set out by the National Weather Service. Even though tornadoes not very common in our area tomorrow there is the potential for some isolated storms capable of producing tornadoes and damaging winds. While operating Motor vehicles tomorrow please use extra caution due to the possibility of some downed trees and power lines from strong winds and heavy rains. Expect some watchers and possibly even some warnings to go up tonight and early next morning.

Be aware and stay safe!

Storms move out of NYC Area, mild temperatures and clear skies ahead

April 21, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged current weather conditions, forecasts, high temperatures, Manhattan, New York City Metro Area, rain, thunderstormLeave a comment

Today as the storms move out, clear skies and mild temperatures move in. In and around Manhattan, temperatures will max out around 65 degrees, with not much difference even in temperature in further north counties.

Although conditions will be nice today, tomorrow some more showers will be moving through later on in the day. Some of these showers could develop into a thunderstorm or two. So don’t put those umbrellas away yet, rain is still coming…

NCSU, the TSR, and Colorado state all forecasting a quiet Hurricane Season

April 20, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Atlantic Hurricane Season, forecasts, hurricane season, Hurricane Season 2015, mass devastationLeave a comment

According to all the sources’ listed above April forecasts, there will be a below average Hurricane Season in the Tropical Atlantic Basin. The Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) program is predicting anywhere in between 8 and 15 total named storms, 3 to 9 hurricanes, and of which 1 to 4 would be major hurricanes. What the TSR is predicting though is overall a 20% less active Hurricane Season than the historical long range average.

Here is what the overall highest percentage expectancy for all the sources mentioned (put together by Wikipedia)

TSR	April 9, 2015	11	5	2
CSU	April 9, 2015	7	3	1
NCSU	April 13, 2015	4–6	1–3	1

An average Hurricane Season looks something more like this:

12 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.

So, you can see that there is some uncertainty in the exact number of storms there will be this Hurricane Season, but what all these programs are still urging is for anyone and everyone on or near the coast to be prepared for a possible hurricane strike, because it only takes one to create mass devastation.

Rainy and slippery morning commute for many this morning

April 20, 2015April 20, 2015Posted in UncategorizedTagged Mid Atlantic, New England, New York City Metro Area, Northeast, rain, rain showers, severe storms, severe weatherLeave a comment

For those about to be outdoors and driving, it my be a fairly good idea to bring along with you an umbrella if you already have not noticed…

The first large band of rain has already swept through the NYC Metro Area and will continue to move northeastward, whereas another, even larger band of heavy rain and thunderstorms is moving northeastward as well, straight towards the NYC Metro Area. Be on the lookout for the some thunderstorms, one or two of which may be severe, and also be careful while driving through heavy rain on roadways. Rain events such as this one are common throughout the spring season, but that doesn’t mean to neglect safety, so stay safe!