The Latest: Weather 360 on the end of winter and the beginning of Hurricane Season 2015

As winter for the Northeast begins to wind down and warm and cold temperatures fight a raging war in which, obviously, the cold must surrender in, Hurricane Season 2015 approaches. The preliminary estimates in terms of a below average, an average, or an above average season, are suggesting that there will be a close to average season with a very equal chance of the season being weighed towards either below or above average.  Those who are waiting for spring, Weather 360 can promise you that it will come eventually, no matter how unusual the weather may be.

As always, be careful and stay safe!

The Latest: On Weather 360

For anyone wondering where and what exactly Weather 360 covers keep reading.

Area.   During Hurricane Season, Weather 360 covers the entire tropical Atlantic Basin and will provide any watches or warnings set out by the NHC and explain what it means.  During winter though, Weather 360 mainly covers all major storms in the Northeast US only.

Severe storm potential for the Northeast

As a severe thunderstorm event sweeps the central part of the US, forecast models are suggesting that this storm will retain some severe properties by the time it reaches the Mid Atlantic and New England.  By midday Thursday, much of the Northeast will be experiencing torrential rain showers along with the threat of some severe storms and the possibility of isolated locations experiencing hail.  Be on the lookout for localized flooding and any severe thunderstorm warnings or watches.

Stay safe!

How fast can computer models change?

The post made last night mentioned that forecast computer models can change a lot within a certain time period, this is completely what has happened over the past several hours.  The newest run of the GFS model is now showing in 300 hours, a large storm over the Northeast with below freezing temperatures inland.  So, it may be interesting to see how much this forecast changes over the next several days and week, the storm could disappear or it could intensify.  All it takes is the slightest change in the forecast and positioning of all the components of a weather computer model to change the whole forecast for the next several days to weeks to, for the longer range models, months.

Stay safe!

The Latest: Cold, warm, cold, then warm again, why can’t the weather make up it’s mind?

After the Northeast experienced snow on Friday, colder, more winter like temperatures moved in.  Now, after the colder temperatures have set in, warm temperature are expected to move in soon, just to be overtaken by even more unseasonably cold temperatures shortly afterwards.

The Latest: Why is there so much temperature change expected to occur?

BREAKING EVENT:  The latest runs of the GFS and what the ECMWF is suggesting is that there is the possibility of a snow event, possibly large, to impact the Northeast United States around April 6th.  Remember, this is over 300 hours out, there is a seemingly limitless amount of time for this forecast to change, but it is a good idea to keep winter gear out and ready for use if you live in or near the Northeast US.

Otherwise, it seems as if the Arctic Jet Stream, which brings all the Canadian cold air down into the US and further occasionally during winter, is acting very volatile at the moment, causing all the cold air and warm air fluctuation across the US and beyond.

The Latest: Our YouTube channel

We at Weather 360 are well on our way to creating our first video for our YouTube channel (Weather 360.)  The first video’s date of upload will be announced soon.  Most of the videos will contain extra information about current weather events along with clarification of events already announced on the website.

We’ll keep you posted.  Stay safe!

Below average temperatures expected to stick around into May

The newest data is suggesting that unseasonably cool temperatures could stick around in the Northeast well through April and into May.  Although there will be warm spells, colder temperatures will be dominate for much of early spring.  This summer though, temperatures in the Northeast are expected currently to be at or near average.  The slight drought parts of the Northeast have been experiencing over the past several months (nothing similar to what California has)  is expected either to clear up or stay the same due to the low chance of below average precipitation in the hotter months over the summer.

Still keep your salt ready to use against any possible black ice, but if you live in an area on or near the coast that has experienced any type of tropical entity (such as a hurricane or tropical storm) now is the time to start gathering supplies for an emergency kit in case one comes near you.

Stay safe!

Rain is on it’s way!

A fairly large rain event is expected to arrive in the Northeast around Thursday, bringing with it the possibility of a few inches of rain from Maine to Pennsylvania. With the rain, there will be some very warm temperatures relative to what the Northeast has experienced over the past several months, causing even more rapid snow melt of what ever is left all over the Northeast.  In some areas further North, such as the mountains in northern Vermont and New Hampshire there is the possibility of some snow and freezing precipitation to mix in at times.  Now would be a good time to bring out your rain boots, the Northeast’s spring is well on it’s way to overcome the wrath of winter.

Stay safe!

The Latest: Thought winter’s wrath was over? You thought wrong…

First off, the GFS and the ECMWF computer models don’t normally agree on most topics. One of the most common of those is temperature, so you can see why it may be unsettling for someone analyzing the models to see very close similarities in temperature forecast.

The Latest:  When will winter ever end!

As previously said, the GFS and the ECMWF computer models are somewhat agreeing on the temperatures expected for the Northeast in the next two weeks.  What wasn’t necessarily stated was that the temperatures they both are suggesting for early April are more associated with temperatures of early to mid March for most locations in the Northeast United States.  It seems as if year by year temperatures are becoming more and more strange, (cough, cough, global warming, cough, cough, climate change), doesn’t it?

The Latest:  What could this mean for you?

Well, with colder temperatures for the Northeast, less people will likely attend outdoor activities (except winter sports) across the area.  With colder temperatures later in winter, apple blossoms could bloom in a brief warm spell, then be killed by cold temperatures soon there after.  More and more examples of how weather can affect you will be mentioned more and more often on Weather 360.

Snow and rain could be on the way so, as always, stay safe!

Special: The Latest

Due to maintenance issues, Weather 360 will post ‘The Latest’ twice today (with different information.)

The Latest:  Polls

As you may have noticed, there was a previous post with a poll embedded within it that asked if you would pay for our new ‘Hurricane Package’.  The polls show 25% so far for each answer, so please vote soon because new results will not be taken after today.

The Latest: What do the computer models have to say about spring for the Northeast?

It is no longer still looking good for warm temperatures in the Northeast.  After this round of cold air, the GFS and ECMWF models (the top two in the world) are suggesting that there will only be a brief round of warmer air before more very cold temperatures move back in, bringing with it the potential for a wintry mix or even snow in the Northeast well into early April.  Maybe it isn’t time to put away the shovels and salt yet…

All Weather 360 can really say is be glad that it isn’t precipitating near you (at least for most of the Northeast.)

April showers for the Northeast likely

April showers bring May flowers.  This is a good thing, as long as you don’t have allergies…

Well, this April there may be more than just rain showers, even already some long-range computer models such as the GFS model are suggesting that this spring, for the Northeast, there may be a myriad of April showers, not necessarily only rain, ready to swing into the Mid Atlantic and New England.  Still be aware of the potential for some more rain and maybe some snow showers in the Northeast in April as well.  Stay safe!

The first day of second winter?

Tomorrow may be the first day of spring, but it sure won’t feel much like it in the Northeast.  Tomorrow a snow event will impact the majority of the southern portions of the Northeast, bringing with it several inches of snow across a large swath of the Northeast.  The timing of this storm will be perfect for snarling the morning and evening rush hour with bands of moderate to heavy snow.  It may seem to some in the Northeast that instead of tomorrow being the first day of spring, it may be more like the first day of a second winter (although the cold will only last for a little longer.)