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THE NHC ISSUES FIRST WATCH AREA OF THE YEAR FOR WHAT COULD BECOME TROPICAL CYCLONE ANA

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FIRST NHC GRAPHIC OF THE YEAR OF WHAT COULD BE ANA! The first NHC Tropical Watch area of the SEASON!

ITS OFFICIAL! This is now one of the earliest starts to the Atlantic Hurricane Season!  A tropical disturbance that we have been talking about for the past several days has now been highlighted by the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida.  As of now, Weather 360 will update our Hurricanes 360 page several times daily through November 30th of 2015.  This potential storm has the potential to strengthen into a hurricane and at the moment for a 5 day forecast by the NHC has a 30% chance of developing (which will likely significantly increase as next week approaches.)

Weather 360’s hurricane package will be free for a little while (at least the beginning of hurricane season) to show you the advance options we include in it.  The hurricane package (which we will rename for now) can be accessed by simply hovering your cursor over the Hurricanes 360 page and clicking on the dropped page below.

If you have not noticed about this storm, that although it has 30% odds of development, it is not classified as a medium chance, right?  Well, yes, since last hurricane season the NHC has changed their standards, meaning that now anything below 40% odds of development at the time of forecast initiation will be in the “low”, and therefore yellow shade.

Here’s a look on the NHC’s special statement on this disturbance

Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form north of
the Bahamas later this week. This system could gradually acquire
some subtropical characteristics by Thursday or Friday as it moves
slowly northward. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be
issued on this system by 11 AM EDT Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Forecaster Brennan

Stay safe, and lookout for a YouTube video to come out soon on this disturbance along with constant updates on Weather 360!

Potential tropical cyclone in the Atlantic, SOON!

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Now with the support of several other major computer models, the ECMWF and the GFS computer models still suggest that some type of a tropical cyclone may occur near the eastern seaboard over the next few days.  This potential storm’s worst case scenario is being forecasted by a major computer model known as the CMC, which depicts a strong tropical storm or a category one hurricane impacting areas such as North Carolina with heavy rains, winds, and some storm surge.  Keep in mind, this is the current worst case scenario and is no more likely than there being a weaker storm off the coast, (again at the moment.)  Other computer models such as again the GFS, suggest a tropical cyclone, likely a tropical storm, off the eastern coast and veering out into the ocean in between the Carolinas and Bermuda.

For now, stay aware, and stay safe!

3…2…1 HAPPY HURRICANE SEASON, well in about 30 days…

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Why the title one may ask?  Well, it’s because over the past several days the GFS and the ECMWF computer models have been hinting at the development of a tropical disturbance soon near the eastern coast of the United States.  (Also, this hurricane season, although expected to be below average, could potentially not be very happy for some…)

The potential storm does not look like, at the moment, to be a threat to the coastline, but since this storm has survived the changes of the computer models over the past several days, we will continue to update you when more significant developments occur.

For anyone who would like to know, this storm does not appear to be, again at the moment, to strengthen into a full fledged hurricane, but we will update you as the forecasts become clearer and clearer.

7.8 MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKE STRIKES NEPAL

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The overdue earthquake that rocked Nepal was measured at a massive, 7.8 magnitude earthquake. on the Richter Scale.  To put this in context, the Loma Prieta earthquake of 1989 (San Francisco), was only measured at 6.9, and although significantly weaker than the recent Nepal earthquake, caused mass devastation and created almost 4000 injuries.

At the moment, the Nepal earthquake death toll is close to 5000, with some foretasted estimates to be closer to the 10000 mark.  An earthquake such as this one, only occurs about every 60 to 80 years in Nepal.  The last massive earthquake Nepal  has experienced was an 8.0 magnitude in 1934.  This earthquake was basically on queue in terms of timing, and although geologists have warned for at least a decade or two that the “big one” was imminent, Nepal does not seem as prepared as it could have been.

So far, about 20 people have been found killed by avalanches on Mount Everest and the number of the missing is not currently known.

In places as far as New Delhi, India and Tibet, China, the earthquake was felt, creating a better image of just how massive and large this earthquake really was.

For information on earthquake safety and how others and you can be prepared, go to http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learn/preparedness.php

Is today really April 23rd? I didn’t notice because IT WAS SNOWING!

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Its true! Snow was observed in parts of Connecticut and New York around noon today.  So the question is, is winter really over?

Well, today was more of an anomaly, where some cold air mixed in with some precipitation to make some snow and sleet.  There were no known accumulations, and temperatures will also be warmer tomorrow and this weekend.

Stay safe!

The Weather Channel releases another below average Hurricane Season 2015 forecast

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This time around it is still the same, a below average Hurricane Season 2015…

The Weather Channel has just released their April Hurricane Season forecast calling for 9 named storms, 5 hurricanes, and only 1 major hurricane.  This, according to their article on their website about their newest forecast, implies that an El Nino, which normally inhibits Tropical Atlantic Basin cyclones, will have a large role to play in this year’s amount of tropical cyclones.

Weather 360 has been looking at the longer range forecasts, the April forecasts made by places such as Colorado State and TSR, and large factors already showing themselves in the Atlantic and Pacific, and we have been starting to see a growing potential for a less active Hurricane Season.

That’s all for now and we’ll keep you up to date on all of the latest developments on this Hurricane Season.

Severe thunderstorms could produce life-threatening conditions, SOON

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In the NYC Metro Area especially, in a couple of hours the potential for severe, and potentially life threatening conditions will come into play.  If you have not already noticed or have not yet been outdoors, the temperatures  have begun to cool and wind speeds have also begun to pick up ahead of the storm.

What will these severe storms include?

First of all, a severe storm normally needs to have the following to be classified as a severe storm; hail, gusty winds, lightning, and heavy rain (for more, go to our Terms to Know page), which happens to be the exact components of the storms expected to line up and sweep through nearly all 31 counties in the NYC Metro Area.

Wait a second, most of those components aren’t deadly, right?

Well not exactly, because thinking about the effects of hail, gusty winds, lightning, and heavy rain, you may come to realize that hail can damage windows, vehicles, and cause serious injury, gusty winds can knock down trees and power lines, lightning can electrocute items and people, and last, but now least, heavy rains can create flash flooding. So know that you know some of the effects of the components that create a severe thunderstorm, you will hopefully know how to properly protect yourself and you property from one.

Be on the lookout for any severe thunderstorm watches or warnings, and stay safe!

Thunderstorms are coming!

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Over the next several hours thunderstorms will begin to develop in the New York City metro area.  Some of these storms could produce large hail and damaging winds,  so please if you are caught in a severe storm take cover immediately to avoid any injury.  Today there’s also the potential for flash flooding across all low lying areas and in areas near rivers or streams.  Later today there’s also the potential for gusty winds to cause some downed trees and power outages.  Be aware that at almost any time the National Weather Service may issue an advisory, a watch, or a warning.

Hurricane Season 2015

Although most of the major sources for forecasting the next hurricane season have been predicting a quiet, below average hurricane season, Weather 360 would like to remind everyone that it only takes one hurricane landfall to make a big difference across a wide area that could be anywhere on the Atlantic Basin coast from Maine to Texas.

Stay safe!

Severe storms tomorrow

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Tomorrow there will be a line of severe storms moving through our area. Some of the severe storms could produce large hail and damaging winds in certain cells. The stormes will continue into the overnight hours and could be potentially dangerous even done so please heed all warnings set out by the National Weather Service.  Even though tornadoes not very common in our area tomorrow there is the potential for some isolated storms capable of producing tornadoes and damaging winds.  While operating Motor vehicles tomorrow please use extra caution due to the possibility of some downed trees and power lines from strong winds and heavy rains.  Expect some watchers and possibly even some warnings to go up tonight and early next morning.

Be aware and stay safe!