Flooding concerns in the Northeast

As temperatures warm and rain moves in, not many places in the Northeast will be under slight drought conditions for long.

As the title of this post suggests, melting snow along with several different rain events with warmer temperatures over the next couple of days will cause localize flooding creating hazardous driving conditions.  Be careful and do not drive through even what appears to be only slightly flooded areas.

Over the next couple of days there will be warm temperatures, but we do not advise putting away all the winter gear yet, for there may be another big dip in the Jet Stream soon…

Snow and rain heading for the Northeast today into Friday

For the next few days across the Northeast there will be rainy and overcast conditions, but in the mountains in New Hampshire, Vermont, and most of northern Maine, there is the potential for several inches of snow.

The timing of this event:  Around NYC and Boston, the rain will begin later today as showers and possibly have a break sometime tomorrow before starting up again tomorrow night into Friday morning.

What about the snow?:  In areas closer to the Canadian border, such as the mountains of New Hampshire and Vermont, there is a potential for cold enough air to mix in with the precipitation and cause a snow event.  This storm is not expected to be anything huge, but if you happen to be in an area expected to see snow, exercise extra caution while outdoors especially on road, and as always, stay safe!

Severe storm potential for the Northeast

As a severe thunderstorm event sweeps the central part of the US, forecast models are suggesting that this storm will retain some severe properties by the time it reaches the Mid Atlantic and New England.  By midday Thursday, much of the Northeast will be experiencing torrential rain showers along with the threat of some severe storms and the possibility of isolated locations experiencing hail.  Be on the lookout for localized flooding and any severe thunderstorm warnings or watches.

Stay safe!

How fast can computer models change?

The post made last night mentioned that forecast computer models can change a lot within a certain time period, this is completely what has happened over the past several hours.  The newest run of the GFS model is now showing in 300 hours, a large storm over the Northeast with below freezing temperatures inland.  So, it may be interesting to see how much this forecast changes over the next several days and week, the storm could disappear or it could intensify.  All it takes is the slightest change in the forecast and positioning of all the components of a weather computer model to change the whole forecast for the next several days to weeks to, for the longer range models, months.

Stay safe!

Rain is on it’s way!

A fairly large rain event is expected to arrive in the Northeast around Thursday, bringing with it the possibility of a few inches of rain from Maine to Pennsylvania. With the rain, there will be some very warm temperatures relative to what the Northeast has experienced over the past several months, causing even more rapid snow melt of what ever is left all over the Northeast.  In some areas further North, such as the mountains in northern Vermont and New Hampshire there is the possibility of some snow and freezing precipitation to mix in at times.  Now would be a good time to bring out your rain boots, the Northeast’s spring is well on it’s way to overcome the wrath of winter.

Stay safe!

The Latest: Thought winter’s wrath was over? You thought wrong…

First off, the GFS and the ECMWF computer models don’t normally agree on most topics. One of the most common of those is temperature, so you can see why it may be unsettling for someone analyzing the models to see very close similarities in temperature forecast.

The Latest:  When will winter ever end!

As previously said, the GFS and the ECMWF computer models are somewhat agreeing on the temperatures expected for the Northeast in the next two weeks.  What wasn’t necessarily stated was that the temperatures they both are suggesting for early April are more associated with temperatures of early to mid March for most locations in the Northeast United States.  It seems as if year by year temperatures are becoming more and more strange, (cough, cough, global warming, cough, cough, climate change), doesn’t it?

The Latest:  What could this mean for you?

Well, with colder temperatures for the Northeast, less people will likely attend outdoor activities (except winter sports) across the area.  With colder temperatures later in winter, apple blossoms could bloom in a brief warm spell, then be killed by cold temperatures soon there after.  More and more examples of how weather can affect you will be mentioned more and more often on Weather 360.

Snow and rain could be on the way so, as always, stay safe!

Special: The Latest

Due to maintenance issues, Weather 360 will post ‘The Latest’ twice today (with different information.)

The Latest:  Polls

As you may have noticed, there was a previous post with a poll embedded within it that asked if you would pay for our new ‘Hurricane Package’.  The polls show 25% so far for each answer, so please vote soon because new results will not be taken after today.

The Latest: What do the computer models have to say about spring for the Northeast?

It is no longer still looking good for warm temperatures in the Northeast.  After this round of cold air, the GFS and ECMWF models (the top two in the world) are suggesting that there will only be a brief round of warmer air before more very cold temperatures move back in, bringing with it the potential for a wintry mix or even snow in the Northeast well into early April.  Maybe it isn’t time to put away the shovels and salt yet…

All Weather 360 can really say is be glad that it isn’t precipitating near you (at least for most of the Northeast.)

April showers for the Northeast likely

April showers bring May flowers.  This is a good thing, as long as you don’t have allergies…

Well, this April there may be more than just rain showers, even already some long-range computer models such as the GFS model are suggesting that this spring, for the Northeast, there may be a myriad of April showers, not necessarily only rain, ready to swing into the Mid Atlantic and New England.  Still be aware of the potential for some more rain and maybe some snow showers in the Northeast in April as well.  Stay safe!

Rain tonight into tomorrow causing rapid melting in the Northeast.

As the several feet of snow burying New England starts to thaw away flooding is becoming a larger threat along with morning black ice in areas with higher temperatures during the day with cooler temperatures below freezing at night.  Along with the melting currently occurring, tonight in most places in southern New England it will rain.  This will soak the already wet snow with even more water before melting the following day, meaning that there will be even more water to be released when the snow melts causing localized flooding.  Turn around, don’t drown.

Stay Safe!

Wintry mess makes it’s move on the Northeast

By now if you live in the Northeast you likely are seeing some snow falling out your window.  This same snow event will likely change over to rain tonight and taper off tomorrow midday as a couple of rain showers.  Beware! Although the rain will taper off in the Northeast there is another part of the storm coming in right behind it for the Northeast (mainly New England and New York.) This second part of the storm will bring at first a wintry mix overnight quickly transitioning to all snow during Thursday dumping possibly over six inches of snow in some places and tapering off in and around New York City by the afternoon hours and during the evening for Boston and the Cape.

Weather 360 urges everyone to use extra caution if outdoors and stay safe!