Est. September 2014
As the month of March begins to wind down, it seems as if the snow is picking up. In some eastern areas of New England, there may be several more inches of fresh snow on top of what ever is left after winter. Be aware of some possibly slick roads and reduced visibility due to snow.
Stay safe!
Over the past several decades, data has been collected about hurricane forecasts to see how they have changed over the years. As most of you may have guessed, in the Atlantic Basin and around the world Hurricane Forecasting errors over the past decades have decreased significantly.
The Latest: 2015 Hurricane Season Analysis
Due to the sharp decrease in forecasting errors (for hurricanes) over the past several decades, it is now clearer to forecast hurricane seasons well in advance with more accuracy than ever. First off, Hurricane Season 2015 is expected to at or near average. This may change though if there is a stronger El Nino to occur, but at the moment, the El Nino is relatively weak. The odds of a tropical disturbance impacting the Mid Atlantic or New England coastline may be slightly elevated, but is very different in terms of percentage wise than average. We will keep you updated as more information comes out.
The Latest: Warm temperatures, then cold temperatures again?
As spring sets in, winter is preparing to make it’s possibly final move on the Northeast US. The possibility of another dip in the Arctic Jet Stream is steadily increasing. So as previously mentioned, don’t put away the winter gear yet.
Is winter coming back?
Springtime for now, but what about in a week or two.
The current computer models (again, especially the GFS) are suggesting that another large large dip in the Jet Stream is imminent, bringing with it, cold, winter temperatures, along with the possibility of some snow. As said many times before, DO NOT PUT AWAY THE WINTER GEAR! Or else you may be sorry if it snows again in your area.
Stay safe!
As a line of storms begins to move in from the Mid West, the potential for some snow showers on Saturday in New England has increased. Not much is currently expected in way of accumulation, but it is always a good idea to know what’s ahead. Also, today into tomorrow morning for most of New England and the Northeast there may be some severe thunderstorms. The potential for small hail is not very high, but there is a potential for some isolated locations of heavy rain and cloud to ground lightning. Cloud to ground lightning can be very dangerous, so, if you hear thunder while outdoors, please proceed to a safe structure to avoid any possibility of injury from the lightning. Early spring in the Northeast has been fairly unusual, starting out with a snowstorm dumping as much as eight inches across New England, and then all the temperature fluctuation between very cold and mild.
Please exercise extra caution while outdoors during stormy weather, and as always, stay safe!
Only about a day after the crash of a German Wings airplane, search and rescue teams along with media are already flooding the scene. Why is Weather 360 covering this event? Simple, rain and snow could halt operations at the scene of the crash over the next couple of days. 150 people where on board the plane going from Barcelona to Dusseldorf. Please refer to other online sources to find more on the crash.
Did weather cause the crash?
At the moment this is not a backed theory, but will either be proved or disproved (probably disproved) shortly.
For the next few days across the Northeast there will be rainy and overcast conditions, but in the mountains in New Hampshire, Vermont, and most of northern Maine, there is the potential for several inches of snow.
The timing of this event: Around NYC and Boston, the rain will begin later today as showers and possibly have a break sometime tomorrow before starting up again tomorrow night into Friday morning.
What about the snow?: In areas closer to the Canadian border, such as the mountains of New Hampshire and Vermont, there is a potential for cold enough air to mix in with the precipitation and cause a snow event. This storm is not expected to be anything huge, but if you happen to be in an area expected to see snow, exercise extra caution while outdoors especially on road, and as always, stay safe!
When will winter ever end?!
Soon, at least hopefully, if the latest run of the GFS model proves correct…
What does the latest model run say then? Well, at the 384 hour mark, the GFS is suggesting that a large swatch of mild air will arrive in the west of the US and Canada and flooding the rest of the US with more mild, spring-like temperatures. There is also the potential for a snow event for inland portions of New England in the next two weeks.
Well keep you posted and stay safe.
Tomorrow may be the first day of spring, but it sure won’t feel much like it in the Northeast. Tomorrow a snow event will impact the majority of the southern portions of the Northeast, bringing with it several inches of snow across a large swath of the Northeast. The timing of this storm will be perfect for snarling the morning and evening rush hour with bands of moderate to heavy snow. It may seem to some in the Northeast that instead of tomorrow being the first day of spring, it may be more like the first day of a second winter (although the cold will only last for a little longer.)
Weather 360 would like to apologize for not posting a post to unveil the new section of Weather 360, that post will be posted later today.
Today is March 19th 2015, normally, Weather 360 wouldn’t have to talk about this, but this winter isn’t very normal. With this in mind, it is not hard to guess what this may mean. What it does mean is that tomorrow the majority of southern New England and most of the Mid Atlantic will be impacted by a snow event possibly dumping up to six inches in some localized areas.
The timing of the storm
In areas further to the west the precipitation will likely start while morning rush hour is winding up, and will end around midnight Saturday morning.
For locations further to the east the precipitation (mainly snow) will start before the evening rush hour begins and will start to taper off a couple of hours after midnight.
Any accumulations?
As previously mentioned, snow accumulations may be a couple of inches with some locally higher amounts where the heaviest snow falls and where it is cold enough to stay all snow (mainly all locations further north than Trenton and mostly to the east.) So be prepared for snow accumulation, heed all watches, warnings, and advisories set out by the National Weather Service, and most of all, stay safe!
It can be interesting when the slightest change in temperatures and track of a storm system can completely alter the forecast for a given area. That is what parts of New England are experiencing today. The NAM computer model along with others are now showing two smaller and weaker storm systems combining in the Ohio Valley to bring a mixed precipitation there, but as it heads northeast, it will meet some cold air which could bring up to several inches of snow (not ice, rain, or sleet, such as most late-winter systems) to parts of southern New England. In and around NYC to the north, the snow should start around noon and end just after midnight, but in NYC itself, the snow will mix in with rain and sleet to possibly create icy and hazardous conditions on the road ways. For those in winter weary Boston, there isn’t as high of a chance of the storm impacting that area, so it seems to be as if Boston is mainly in the clear of experiencing another major winter storm for a while. Weather 360 will provide more updates on the track and intensity of this storm as it approaches the Northeast.
Stay safe!
Weather 360 