Tag: Atlantic Hurricane Season

The Latest: Hurricane Season 2015 Analysis

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Over the past several decades, data has been collected about hurricane forecasts to see how they have changed over the years.  As most of you may have guessed, in the Atlantic Basin and around the world Hurricane Forecasting errors over the past decades have decreased significantly.

The Latest:  2015 Hurricane Season Analysis

Due to the sharp decrease in forecasting errors (for hurricanes) over the past several decades, it is now clearer to forecast hurricane seasons well in advance with more accuracy than ever.   First off, Hurricane Season 2015 is expected to at or near average.  This may change though if there is a stronger El Nino to occur, but at the moment, the El Nino is relatively weak.  The odds of a tropical disturbance impacting the Mid Atlantic or New England coastline may be slightly elevated, but is very different in terms of percentage wise than average.  We will keep you updated as more information comes out.

The Latest: Warm temperatures, then cold temperatures again?

As spring sets in, winter is preparing to make it’s possibly final move on the Northeast US.  The possibility of another dip in the Arctic Jet Stream is steadily increasing.  So as previously mentioned, don’t put away the winter gear yet.

The Latest: Weather 360 on the end of winter and the beginning of Hurricane Season 2015

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As winter for the Northeast begins to wind down and warm and cold temperatures fight a raging war in which, obviously, the cold must surrender in, Hurricane Season 2015 approaches. The preliminary estimates in terms of a below average, an average, or an above average season, are suggesting that there will be a close to average season with a very equal chance of the season being weighed towards either below or above average.  Those who are waiting for spring, Weather 360 can promise you that it will come eventually, no matter how unusual the weather may be.

As always, be careful and stay safe!

The Latest: On Weather 360

For anyone wondering where and what exactly Weather 360 covers keep reading.

Area.   During Hurricane Season, Weather 360 covers the entire tropical Atlantic Basin and will provide any watches or warnings set out by the NHC and explain what it means.  During winter though, Weather 360 mainly covers all major storms in the Northeast US only.

Could a Cyclone Pam occur in the Atlantic?

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A monster category five equivalent cyclone is churning towards Vanuatu with winds of over 160 MPH.  So the question is, could this happen in the US?  The answer is most definitely yes.  This is due to the fact that the same caliber hurricane has occurred before in the Atlantic Basin.  How about Hurricane Katrina, it was a category five hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico before making landfall as a category three in Louisiana just a few days later.  Now, the other question is, could this happen again? The answer is once again yes.  This is due to the fact that a category five hurricane can easily form if there is little wind shear and warm ocean temperatures.  If a hurricane such as the one churning towards Vanuatu now was to impact the US, Weather 360 will immediately talk about what this could mean for the area to be impacted.

How Weather 360’s ‘Hurricane Package’ will work

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THIS IS A FICTIONAL SITUATION DEPICTING WHAT WOULD HAPPEN IF:

A category two hurricane is barreling towards the Northeast.  The following would take place.

1) An emergency email would be sent first including NWS & NHC statements/warnings.

2) Another notification would be sent including all spaghetti model info.

3) The third notification will include landfall odds, facility closure odds,likely road conditions, power outage odds, expected winds, expected rain, expected storm surge, another summary (by Weather 360) on the storm, and another summary of watches/warnings.

There may be some changes to this set up before this is released.

 

 

Weather 360 news

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Weather 360 would just like to update everyone on Weather 360’s changes on this 7 PM EST post by starting out with a slightly altered and official schedule for Weather 360’s updating times: Weekdays, 7AM, a pre afternoon rush hour post, and a 7 PM post.

Now that everyone is caught up on that Weather 360 would also like to point out that Weather 360 will still be providing links for current and future weather conditions around the world for now, but will now only post for the Northeast in the off-hurricane season although we will still be providing forecasts for the whole Atlantic Basin once hurricane season begins this June.

Remember to keep a look out for our knew ‘Hurricane Package’ which is ahead of schedule and is expected to be released sooner than expected pending the time when more information becomes available for dissection.

Schedule changes for Weather 360

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Posting schedule going into effect               Monday March 9th 2015.

Weekdays 7AM and 7PM, will update at other times if there is a breaking event/maintenance issue.

Weekends: 8AM and 8PM, will update at other times if there is a breaking event/maintenance issue.

On this post Weather 360 would also like to mention our ‘Hurricane Package’ which we are currently working on.  This package will be primarily for those living in the Northeast US, but can also be useful for those who would like to receive in depth analysis on an email about current tropical disturbances in the Atlantic Basin.  As Weather 360 works more on this package we would like to say that it likely will be done and ready for use before Atlantic Hurricane Season 2015 begins.  To find out more on our package please refer to the ‘Atlantic Hurricane Season’ page.