Update: Preliminary forecasts for Hurricane Season 2015

Two and a half months until Hurricane Season 2015 begins, that leaves about two and a half months for ‘preliminary’ predictions to come out.  So far, at least, the odds of a normal to slightly above normal Hurricane Season are higher than the odds for a low activity Hurricane Season (although the odds are even higher for a closer to normal season due to a forming El Nino.)    Although the forecasts are becoming clearer and clearer as time wears on, there is still the chance for any type of Hurricane Season this year.  Weather 360 will keep you updated as more information comes out.

Now is a good time if you live on or near coastal regions that have historically experienced tropical cyclones to start preparing an emergency kit, please refer to the NHC’s preparedness guide to know how to be prepared for any tropical cyclones that may come  your way this Hurricane Season.

The latest

Welcome back to the latest post of ‘The latest’  by Weather 360.

So, it seems that winter just does not want to end, with more rain and snow expected to arrive in New England by the end of the week and temperature well below freezing in the North-Central part of the US it does not seem like it is already mid-March in places all over the US, including, of course, the Northeast…

The latest: When will the Northeast see spring relief?

Well, it seems as if the Northeast’s winter has been relentless in way of temperatures and snow events.  Sadly though, for anyone waiting for spring, winter may have some more surprises in store.  As mentioned previously, there is the chance for a rain and snow event to impact the Northeast by the end of this week, specifically, Southern-Southeastern New England on Friday.

Wintry event timeline

Starting on Friday morning it will start to snow in areas mainly inland and further north, while there is a wintry mix closer to the coast. Then, after temperatures warm a little during the day there is the chance for some rain and sleet to mix in with snow further inland and north while again, on the coast more of a wintry mix occurs.

The latest: What do the computer models have to say about this?

Starting out will be the NAM computer model.  The NAM computer model as provided by the NOAA shows most of the precipitation as rain in the Mid-Atlantic and a wintry mix or snow in Southern New England, Northern New England will not necessarily receive much in the way of precipitation.  Accumulations should be mostly low, with the possibility of some localized and isolated areas of significantly more or less snow.

Weather 360 will update you more on this and all major wintry events until winter is done and gone, then it will be Hurricane Season.  The weather can’t give anyone a break can it?

Stay safe and check for any updates!

Just as winter feels over…

Live in at least slightly inland New England? Don’t want anymore snow in your area? Well then, it seems to be as if you may be out of luck, a potentially moderate snow event is likely to impact New England this Friday.  Depending on location, further inland and further north will receive more snow accumulations, while places closer to the coast and further south, less in the way of snow accumulation.  So, it is likely that this late-winter snowstorm will occur, meaning that it may be a good idea to keep a shovel at hand.

Stay safe, and enjoy the last bit of warmth while it lasts!

The first day of spring

Spring 2015 is on it’s way!

Well, not really.  As more information is coming out on a possible storm on the last day or two of winter into the first day of spring, it is now very likely for there to be a rain and snow event during that time period.  The system will mainly bring rainy conditions to the Mid Atlantic, but, further north in the Northeast (mainly New England) may receive a wintry mix changing over to all snow.  Although it is still far out, Weather 360 can say if temperature forecasts stay the same, then there may be several inches of snow in some areas inside New England.

Update: Disaster in Vanuatu

As communications in Vanuatu gradually restore to allow reporters to report about the mass destruction and flattening the monster, category five Cyclone Pam, did to the islands that male up the nation of Vanuatu, the extent of the damage is unveiling itself to the world.  Images and videos of what it was like during the storm along with almost unbelievable images of what the aftermath is; houses and other structures flattened, the farms and gardens that feed so many, destroyed, trees completely uprooted.  These are some of the horrifying images that  have come out of Vanuatu in just the past day or so.  The path of recovery for Vanuatu is starting, but the path may take a while, for this is being described by some as a horrible tragedy that has decimated the islands of Vanuatu.

The latest

Welcome to ‘The latest’ a 7 PM (EST) post that will tell you what some of the major computer weather models will mean for the Northeast and any widespread emergency announcements.

The latest: Computer models

It seems that the GFS and the ECMWF computer model are mostly in agreement for what they think may happen with the rain and snow event tonight into tomorrow for the Northeast and for a possible wintry mix to come to the Northeast this upcoming weekend. So, although spring is right around the corner, spring-like weather may arrive a bit later than normal.  Just keep in mind that winter is wrapping up and will changeover to spring sooner or later.

The latest: Current Northeast Storms

As the rain and snow in Eastern Main tapers off this evening into tonight there is not much in way of current precipitation in the Northeast, although as mentioned above there will be a clipper-like system moving into the Northeast from the Mid-West tonight and tapering off by tomorrow evening.

Stay safe!

Late-winter mess has it’s eyes on the Northeast

It seems as if it was out of the blue.  Well, it really was not out of the blue, but it may seem that way.  A wintry mess will arrive in the Northeast tonight bringing mostly rain south and some wintry mix further north closer to the Canadian border.  What made this storm seem out of the blue was due to the fact that there was already the chance of this storm affecting portions of the Northeast (just not very high), normal for several days out for this to happen, but not very usual when only ten hours ahead a major forecast update.  So be prepared if you live south of Massachusetts for a rainy Tuesday morning and for further north locations near the US-Canadian border, some rain and snow that could make for a messy morning commute.

Stay safe!

Weather 360 update

The ‘Hurricane Package’, an email system that is designed to update you on all tropical disturbances in the Atlantic Basin with computer model analysis, is very close to completion and will be released sometime in April or May.

Winter is over, right?

The Northeast and especially New England can’t catch a break from the cold cant it? As cooler air is still lingering over New England by a small dip in the Jet Stream, a large high pressure situated over the rest of the US, bringing warm, even record breaking high temperatures to most of the US.  This may all change soon though, the Jet Stream that is holding most of the cold air back over Canada (sorry Canada) will start to dip a little more in the North-central part of the country, flooding most of the Northern US with wintry temperatures.  So, thought winter was over? Sorry to say to anyone who would enjoy spring but, it looks like spring may be a little farther away.  Be mindful of black ice!

Update on Vanuatu:

The monster cyclone, category five Cyclone Pam, flattened most of the archipelago that makes up the nation of Vanuatu.  It is thought that about three quarters of the population of Vanuatu is homeless, gardens that were needed to feed families destroyed, and that there may be even more intense damage and destruction on the more remote islands throughout the nation of Vanuatu.  Some are calling Cyclone Pam one of the worst disasters to strike the region.

Be safe, stay safe.

Update on the devastation in Vanuatu

As hours turn into days, the islands that make up Vanuatu, which was recently impacted by a category five monster tropical cyclone, Pam, the residents of the nation of Vanuatu are starting the very long process of rebuilding their lives and their livelihoods. Cyclone Pam impacted the archipelago with winds sustained over 160 MPH and in some places a storm surge well over 15 feet (about 5 meters.)  The people of Vanuatu are starting to gather what is left of their belongings and moving to any place less damaged than where they previously were.  The journey through recovery may take a while, but will eventually be completed in Vanuatu.

Wherever you are, stay safe.

The latest

Welcome to Weather 360’s newest edition, a 7 PM (EST) post that will analyze the latest models, major storms in the Northeast right now, and Weather 360 news.

The latest GFS model runs are suggesting that the warmer air currently situated over parts of the Northeast will move in quickly, and out very soon. So this means that the warmer, spring-like temperatures, were not the same spring-like temperatures that hang around then stick around only to warm up more, but more of an early April Fool’s joke.  While the latest run of the GFS model, the second most accurate weather model in the world, suggests this joke, may not be necessarily so.  The latest run of the European weather model is suggesting a small period of time where cold air will intrude, but then a sudden warm up, which may include a possible rain storm for the Northeast a few days before the end of the month.

The late winter storm that has covered most of Maine with at least several inches of snow, is starting to exit the area into the Canadian Maritime.  With this storm’s exiting, rapid snow melt that is occurring in southern New England and the Mid Atlantic will spread northward into parts of Southeastern Canada and the northern parts of New England.  Watch out for possible flooding and morning black ice.

Weather 360 will operate on a two to three post per day schedule, each post is going to be made to give different information throughout the day.  The time schedule for posts will stay the same; 7 AM, a pre-evening rush hour post, and a 7 PM edition of ‘The Latest’ by Weather 360, which will include all info mentioned at the beginning of this post.