ECMWF – Page 2 – Weather 360

As of 1:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time

Not only does Hawaii have to worry about a potential Tropical Depression (which now appears not to be very likely at the moment), they now have to pay attention to yet another potential storm heading for Hawaii, but this time, there’s more fuel.

So what’s happening with this new Tropical Depression? Computer models can flip-flop positions rapidly, in turn, creating a broad area of obscurity behind all computer model generated forecasts, so what may have appeared to be a large potential storm yesterday, now appears to be a little storm that will clear the way for another potentially larger storm (currently named Invest 91-E).

Wait… what??!?!?!?!?!?!!?!??!?!!?

If you are currently thinking about the ‘potentially large storm to impact Hawaii’ we were talking about yesterday, you may be wondering if we had these two storms confused, and the truth is, not necessarily. Over the past few days we have had more and more indicators of two storms developing, but up until last night, the first storm was still expected by the majority of the computer models to be the stronger one. Although this was only until last night, this is fairly common in the confusing and misleading world of computer models, where long range models tell half of the story, then discarding of the story once the short range modes begin to pick it up, then right before a storm both of the types of computer models begin to suggest their original stories. (Sounds very similar to current popular YouTube theories on a game constantly pushing weather-related YouTube videos further and further down the most watched list…)

Okay, back to our main point…

How about this Invest-91 E thing, all I wanna know is if this storm’s gonna hit Hawaii. I know, right? Invest 91-E, Invest meaning the people at the NHC will start to pay more attention to this storm, is a rapidly developing cluster of thunderstorms in the south-central Eastern Pacific. A mouthful, we know… Anyways, this disturbance is moving to the west-northwest at around 15 MPH, and will be situating itself over the warmer Pacific waters as it makes its way to the Hawaii area.

Currently, this storm does have the potential to impact Hawaii as some sort of tropical entity. So for those with interests in the United States’ only state made up entirely of islands, stay tuned for more information, and on our Why Weather360 page, we will now clarify what exactly we cover in our forecast zone.

Feedback is always appreciated here at Weather 360!

Over the past several computer model runs, the European Computer Model has consistently shown a disturbance forming in the Eastern Pacific that would make its way to the west-northwest over a period of several days that may render Hawaii as a potential target for this sub-995 potential millibar storm. Although we are emphasizing the fact that this is only a POTENTIAL scenario, it is best to be alert and aware for anyone either in or going to the Central Pacific state of Hawaii.

This image is a filter of the ECMWF from Tropicaltidbits (.com), depicting a potential hurricane in the Central Pacific in approximately 10 days time.

For more information you may rely on us here at Weather 360, but please, for emergency information, please rely on the National Hurricane Center and Weather.gov, along with your local emergency management office in the event of a potential landfall.

We’ll keep you updated on this event as time progresses.

Tag: ECMWF

Tropical Depression Eight forms along with Invest 91-E in Eastern Pacific

Potential hurricane may impact the state of Hawaii